China Pacific (UK) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 24.20

CPIC Stock   24.20  0.01  0.04%   
China Pacific's future price is the expected price of China Pacific instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of China Pacific Insurance performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out China Pacific Backtesting, China Pacific Valuation, China Pacific Correlation, China Pacific Hype Analysis, China Pacific Volatility, China Pacific History as well as China Pacific Performance.
  
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China Pacific Target Price Odds to finish over 24.20

The tendency of China Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 24.20 90 days 24.20 
about 86.97
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of China Pacific to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 86.97 (This China Pacific Insurance probability density function shows the probability of China Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon China Pacific has a beta of 0.0084 suggesting as returns on the market go up, China Pacific average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding China Pacific Insurance will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally China Pacific Insurance has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   China Pacific Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for China Pacific

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as China Pacific Insurance. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
23.8024.2024.60
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
22.7823.1826.62
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
23.6824.0824.49
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
23.9324.2224.50
Details

China Pacific Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. China Pacific is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the China Pacific's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold China Pacific Insurance, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of China Pacific within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.06
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.01
σ
Overall volatility
0.40
Ir
Information ratio -0.48

China Pacific Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of China Pacific for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for China Pacific Insurance can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
China Pacific generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Latest headline from news.google.com: What makes Oncolytics Biotech Inc. stock price move sharply - Analyst Grade Signals - beatles.ru

China Pacific Technical Analysis

China Pacific's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. China Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of China Pacific Insurance. In general, you should focus on analyzing China Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

China Pacific Predictive Forecast Models

China Pacific's time-series forecasting models is one of many China Pacific's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary China Pacific's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about China Pacific Insurance

Checking the ongoing alerts about China Pacific for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for China Pacific Insurance help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
China Pacific generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Latest headline from news.google.com: What makes Oncolytics Biotech Inc. stock price move sharply - Analyst Grade Signals - beatles.ru

Additional Tools for China Stock Analysis

When running China Pacific's price analysis, check to measure China Pacific's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy China Pacific is operating at the current time. Most of China Pacific's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of China Pacific's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move China Pacific's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of China Pacific to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.