Delaware Wealth Builder Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 15.38
| DDICX Fund | USD 15.38 0.03 0.20% |
Delaware |
Delaware Wealth Target Price Odds to finish over 15.38
The tendency of Delaware Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 15.38 | 90 days | 15.38 | about 8.41 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Delaware Wealth to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 8.41 (This Delaware Wealth Builder probability density function shows the probability of Delaware Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Delaware Wealth Builder has a beta of -0.074 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Delaware Wealth are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Delaware Wealth Builder is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Delaware Wealth Builder has an alpha of 0.1423, implying that it can generate a 0.14 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Delaware Wealth Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Delaware Wealth
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Delaware Wealth Builder. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Delaware Wealth's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Delaware Wealth Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Delaware Wealth is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Delaware Wealth's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Delaware Wealth Builder, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Delaware Wealth within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.14 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.07 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.45 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.0064 |
Delaware Wealth Technical Analysis
Delaware Wealth's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Delaware Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Delaware Wealth Builder. In general, you should focus on analyzing Delaware Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Delaware Wealth Predictive Forecast Models
Delaware Wealth's time-series forecasting models is one of many Delaware Wealth's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Delaware Wealth's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Delaware Wealth in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Delaware Wealth's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Delaware Wealth options trading.
Other Information on Investing in Delaware Mutual Fund
Delaware Wealth financial ratios help investors to determine whether Delaware Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Delaware with respect to the benefits of owning Delaware Wealth security.
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