Deutsche Telekom Ag Stock Probability of Future OTC Stock Price Finishing Over 23.11

DTEGF Stock  USD 23.11  0.03  0.13%   
Deutsche Telekom's future price is the expected price of Deutsche Telekom instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Deutsche Telekom AG performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Deutsche Telekom Backtesting, Deutsche Telekom Valuation, Deutsche Telekom Correlation, Deutsche Telekom Hype Analysis, Deutsche Telekom Volatility, Deutsche Telekom History as well as Deutsche Telekom Performance.
  
Please specify Deutsche Telekom's target price for which you would like Deutsche Telekom odds to be computed.

Deutsche Telekom Target Price Odds to finish over 23.11

The tendency of Deutsche OTC Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 23.11 90 days 23.11 
about 56.18
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Deutsche Telekom to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 56.18 (This Deutsche Telekom AG probability density function shows the probability of Deutsche OTC Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Deutsche Telekom has a beta of 0.47 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Deutsche Telekom average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Deutsche Telekom AG will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Deutsche Telekom AG has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite.
   Deutsche Telekom Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Deutsche Telekom

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Deutsche Telekom. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Deutsche Telekom's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
21.0023.1125.22
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
21.0823.1825.30
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Deutsche Telekom. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Deutsche Telekom's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Deutsche Telekom's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Deutsche Telekom.

Deutsche Telekom Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Deutsche Telekom is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Deutsche Telekom's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Deutsche Telekom AG, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Deutsche Telekom within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
-0.07
β
Beta against NYSE Composite0.47
σ
Overall volatility
0.45
Ir
Information ratio -0.05

Deutsche Telekom Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Deutsche Telekom for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Deutsche Telekom can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The company has accumulated 98.56 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 1.77, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Deutsche Telekom has a current ratio of 0.83, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Deutsche Telekom until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Deutsche Telekom's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Deutsche Telekom sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Deutsche to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Deutsche Telekom's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
About 18.0% of Deutsche Telekom shares are held by company insiders

Deutsche Telekom Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Deutsche OTC Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Deutsche Telekom's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Deutsche Telekom's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares OutstandingB

Deutsche Telekom Technical Analysis

Deutsche Telekom's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Deutsche OTC Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Deutsche Telekom AG. In general, you should focus on analyzing Deutsche OTC Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Deutsche Telekom Predictive Forecast Models

Deutsche Telekom's time-series forecasting models is one of many Deutsche Telekom's otc stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Deutsche Telekom's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the otc stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Deutsche Telekom

Checking the ongoing alerts about Deutsche Telekom for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Deutsche Telekom help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The company has accumulated 98.56 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 1.77, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Deutsche Telekom has a current ratio of 0.83, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Deutsche Telekom until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Deutsche Telekom's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Deutsche Telekom sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Deutsche to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Deutsche Telekom's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
About 18.0% of Deutsche Telekom shares are held by company insiders
Check out Deutsche Telekom Backtesting, Deutsche Telekom Valuation, Deutsche Telekom Correlation, Deutsche Telekom Hype Analysis, Deutsche Telekom Volatility, Deutsche Telekom History as well as Deutsche Telekom Performance.
Note that the Deutsche Telekom information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Deutsche Telekom's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio Optimization module to compute new portfolio that will generate highest expected return given your specified tolerance for risk.

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When running Deutsche Telekom's price analysis, check to measure Deutsche Telekom's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Deutsche Telekom is operating at the current time. Most of Deutsche Telekom's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Deutsche Telekom's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Deutsche Telekom's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Deutsche Telekom to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Deutsche Telekom's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Deutsche Telekom is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Deutsche Telekom's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.