Firm Capital Apartment Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 4.30

FCA-U Stock  USD 4.30  0.00  0.00%   
Firm Capital's future price is the expected price of Firm Capital instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Firm Capital Apartment performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Firm Capital Backtesting, Firm Capital Valuation, Firm Capital Correlation, Firm Capital Hype Analysis, Firm Capital Volatility, Firm Capital History as well as Firm Capital Performance.
  
Please specify Firm Capital's target price for which you would like Firm Capital odds to be computed.

Firm Capital Target Price Odds to finish over 4.30

The tendency of Firm Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 4.30 90 days 4.30 
about 74.04
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Firm Capital to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 74.04 (This Firm Capital Apartment probability density function shows the probability of Firm Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.17 . This usually indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Firm Capital will likely underperform. Additionally Firm Capital Apartment has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Firm Capital Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Firm Capital

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Firm Capital Apartment. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Firm Capital's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
1.434.307.17
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.793.666.53
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
1.374.247.11
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
4.104.414.72
Details

Firm Capital Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Firm Capital is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Firm Capital's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Firm Capital Apartment, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Firm Capital within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.14
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.17
σ
Overall volatility
0.45
Ir
Information ratio -0.03

Firm Capital Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Firm Capital for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Firm Capital Apartment can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The company reported the revenue of 7.36 M. Net Loss for the year was (3.43 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 4.04 M.
About 23.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Latest headline from news.google.com: Capital Square Housing Trust Launches 40 Million Preferred Stock Offering - PR Newswire

Firm Capital Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Firm Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Firm Capital's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Firm Capital's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding7.6 M
Shares Float6.7 M

Firm Capital Technical Analysis

Firm Capital's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Firm Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Firm Capital Apartment. In general, you should focus on analyzing Firm Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Firm Capital Predictive Forecast Models

Firm Capital's time-series forecasting models is one of many Firm Capital's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Firm Capital's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Firm Capital Apartment

Checking the ongoing alerts about Firm Capital for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Firm Capital Apartment help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The company reported the revenue of 7.36 M. Net Loss for the year was (3.43 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 4.04 M.
About 23.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Latest headline from news.google.com: Capital Square Housing Trust Launches 40 Million Preferred Stock Offering - PR Newswire

Additional Tools for Firm Stock Analysis

When running Firm Capital's price analysis, check to measure Firm Capital's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Firm Capital is operating at the current time. Most of Firm Capital's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Firm Capital's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Firm Capital's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Firm Capital to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.