FOS Capital (Australia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 0.32
| FOS Stock | 0.32 0.02 5.88% |
FOS |
FOS Capital Target Price Odds to finish over 0.32
The tendency of FOS Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 0.32 | 90 days | 0.32 | about 29.74 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of FOS Capital to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 29.74 (This FOS Capital probability density function shows the probability of FOS Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon FOS Capital has a beta of -0.44. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding FOS Capital are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, FOS Capital is likely to outperform the market. Additionally FOS Capital has an alpha of 0.4958, implying that it can generate a 0.5 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). FOS Capital Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for FOS Capital
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as FOS Capital. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.FOS Capital Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. FOS Capital is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the FOS Capital's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold FOS Capital, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of FOS Capital within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.50 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.44 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.02 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.04 |
FOS Capital Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of FOS Capital for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for FOS Capital can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| FOS Capital has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| FOS Capital had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| FOS Capital is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| About 69.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: FOS Capital Expands Through Strategic Acquisitions and Share Issuance - TipRanks |
FOS Capital Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of FOS Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential FOS Capital's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. FOS Capital's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 53.8 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.7 M |
FOS Capital Technical Analysis
FOS Capital's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. FOS Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of FOS Capital. In general, you should focus on analyzing FOS Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
FOS Capital Predictive Forecast Models
FOS Capital's time-series forecasting models is one of many FOS Capital's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary FOS Capital's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about FOS Capital
Checking the ongoing alerts about FOS Capital for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for FOS Capital help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| FOS Capital has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| FOS Capital had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| FOS Capital is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| About 69.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: FOS Capital Expands Through Strategic Acquisitions and Share Issuance - TipRanks |
Additional Tools for FOS Stock Analysis
When running FOS Capital's price analysis, check to measure FOS Capital's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy FOS Capital is operating at the current time. Most of FOS Capital's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of FOS Capital's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move FOS Capital's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of FOS Capital to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.