Fibra UNO (Mexico) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 24.94
| FUNO11 Stock | MXN 24.94 0.70 2.73% |
Fibra |
Fibra UNO Target Price Odds to finish over 24.94
The tendency of Fibra Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 24.94 | 90 days | 24.94 | close to 99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Fibra UNO to move above the current price in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Fibra UNO probability density function shows the probability of Fibra Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Fibra UNO has a beta of -0.42. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Fibra UNO are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Fibra UNO is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Fibra UNO has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite. Fibra UNO Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Fibra UNO
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Fibra UNO. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Fibra UNO's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Fibra UNO Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Fibra UNO is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Fibra UNO's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Fibra UNO, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Fibra UNO within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.15 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | -0.42 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.63 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.17 |
Fibra UNO Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Fibra UNO for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Fibra UNO can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Fibra UNO generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 26.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Fibra UNO Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Fibra Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Fibra UNO's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Fibra UNO's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 4 B |
Fibra UNO Technical Analysis
Fibra UNO's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Fibra Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Fibra UNO. In general, you should focus on analyzing Fibra Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Fibra UNO Predictive Forecast Models
Fibra UNO's time-series forecasting models is one of many Fibra UNO's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Fibra UNO's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Fibra UNO
Checking the ongoing alerts about Fibra UNO for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Fibra UNO help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Fibra UNO generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 26.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Check out Fibra UNO Backtesting, Fibra UNO Valuation, Fibra UNO Correlation, Fibra UNO Hype Analysis, Fibra UNO Volatility, Fibra UNO History as well as Fibra UNO Performance. You can also try the Aroon Oscillator module to analyze current equity momentum using Aroon Oscillator and other momentum ratios.
Complementary Tools for Fibra Stock analysis
When running Fibra UNO's price analysis, check to measure Fibra UNO's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Fibra UNO is operating at the current time. Most of Fibra UNO's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Fibra UNO's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Fibra UNO's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Fibra UNO to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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