Fiverr International Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 24.31
| FVRR Stock | USD 20.80 0.03 0.14% |
Closest to current price Fiverr long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration
Fiverr |
Fiverr International Target Price Odds to finish over 24.31
The tendency of Fiverr Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over $ 24.31 or more in 90 days |
| 20.80 | 90 days | 24.31 | about 32.81 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Fiverr International to move over $ 24.31 or more in 90 days from now is about 32.81 (This Fiverr International probability density function shows the probability of Fiverr Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Fiverr International price to stay between its current price of $ 20.80 and $ 24.31 at the end of the 90-day period is about 42.58 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.98 . This usually indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Fiverr International will likely underperform. Additionally Fiverr International has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite. Fiverr International Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Fiverr International
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Fiverr International. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Fiverr International's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Fiverr International Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Fiverr International is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Fiverr International's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Fiverr International, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Fiverr International within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.5 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 1.98 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 3.10 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.13 |
Fiverr International Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Fiverr International for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Fiverr International can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Fiverr International generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Fiverr International has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Fiverr International has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| About 58.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from fool.com: My Top 26 Stocks to Buy Now in May |
Fiverr International Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Fiverr Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Fiverr International's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Fiverr International's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 39.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 418.7 M |
Fiverr International Technical Analysis
Fiverr International's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Fiverr Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Fiverr International. In general, you should focus on analyzing Fiverr Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Fiverr International Predictive Forecast Models
Fiverr International's time-series forecasting models is one of many Fiverr International's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Fiverr International's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Fiverr International
Checking the ongoing alerts about Fiverr International for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Fiverr International help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Fiverr International generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Fiverr International has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Fiverr International has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| About 58.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from fool.com: My Top 26 Stocks to Buy Now in May |
Check out Fiverr International Backtesting, Fiverr International Valuation, Fiverr International Correlation, Fiverr International Hype Analysis, Fiverr International Volatility, Fiverr International History as well as Fiverr International Performance. To learn how to invest in Fiverr Stock, please use our How to Invest in Fiverr International guide.You can also try the Theme Ratings module to determine theme ratings based on digital equity recommendations. Macroaxis theme ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance.
Complementary Tools for Fiverr Stock analysis
When running Fiverr International's price analysis, check to measure Fiverr International's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Fiverr International is operating at the current time. Most of Fiverr International's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Fiverr International's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Fiverr International's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Fiverr International to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Fiverr International's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Fiverr International. If investors know Fiverr will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Fiverr International listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share 0.09 | Revenue Per Share 9.493 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.101 | Return On Assets (0.01) | Return On Equity 0.0118 |
The market value of Fiverr International is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Fiverr that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Fiverr International's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Fiverr International's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Fiverr International's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Fiverr International's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Fiverr International's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Fiverr International is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Fiverr International's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.