Galway Gold Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Over 0.0243

GAYGF Stock  USD 0.02  0.00  0.00%   
Galway Gold's future price is the expected price of Galway Gold instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Galway Gold performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Galway Gold Backtesting, Galway Gold Valuation, Galway Gold Correlation, Galway Gold Hype Analysis, Galway Gold Volatility, Galway Gold History as well as Galway Gold Performance.
  
Please specify Galway Gold's target price for which you would like Galway Gold odds to be computed.

Galway Gold Target Price Odds to finish over 0.0243

The tendency of Galway Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 0.02 90 days 0.02 
nearly 4.32
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Galway Gold to move above the current price in 90 days from now is nearly 4.32 (This Galway Gold probability density function shows the probability of Galway Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon the pink sheet has the beta coefficient of 3.46 . This usually indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Galway Gold will likely underperform. Moreover Galway Gold has an alpha of 1.5702, implying that it can generate a 1.57 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Galway Gold Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Galway Gold

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Galway Gold. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Galway Gold's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.0218.26
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.0218.26
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.00040.0218.26
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
00.020.03
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Galway Gold. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Galway Gold's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Galway Gold's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Galway Gold.

Galway Gold Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Galway Gold is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Galway Gold's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Galway Gold, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Galway Gold within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
1.57
β
Beta against NYSE Composite3.46
σ
Overall volatility
0.01
Ir
Information ratio 0.1

Galway Gold Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Galway Gold for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Galway Gold can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Galway Gold is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Galway Gold has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Galway Gold appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Galway Gold has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Net Loss for the year was (1.41 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.
Galway Gold has accumulated about 1.06 M in cash with (1.67 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.03, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow.
Roughly 25.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Galway Gold Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Galway Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Galway Gold's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Galway Gold's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding41.6 M
Shares Float31.4 M

Galway Gold Technical Analysis

Galway Gold's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Galway Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Galway Gold. In general, you should focus on analyzing Galway Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Galway Gold Predictive Forecast Models

Galway Gold's time-series forecasting models is one of many Galway Gold's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Galway Gold's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Galway Gold

Checking the ongoing alerts about Galway Gold for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Galway Gold help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Galway Gold is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Galway Gold has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Galway Gold appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Galway Gold has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Net Loss for the year was (1.41 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.
Galway Gold has accumulated about 1.06 M in cash with (1.67 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.03, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow.
Roughly 25.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Check out Galway Gold Backtesting, Galway Gold Valuation, Galway Gold Correlation, Galway Gold Hype Analysis, Galway Gold Volatility, Galway Gold History as well as Galway Gold Performance.
Note that the Galway Gold information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Galway Gold's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Commodity Directory module to find actively traded commodities issued by global exchanges.

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When running Galway Gold's price analysis, check to measure Galway Gold's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Galway Gold is operating at the current time. Most of Galway Gold's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Galway Gold's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Galway Gold's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Galway Gold to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Galway Gold's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Galway Gold is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Galway Gold's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.