GFPT Public (Thailand) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 12.90
| GFPT Stock | THB 12.90 0.30 2.38% |
GFPT |
GFPT Public Target Price Odds to finish over 12.90
The tendency of GFPT Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 12.90 | 90 days | 12.90 | about 1.63 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of GFPT Public to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 1.63 (This GFPT Public probability density function shows the probability of GFPT Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon GFPT Public has a beta of -0.46. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding GFPT Public are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, GFPT Public is likely to outperform the market. Additionally GFPT Public has an alpha of 0.2843, implying that it can generate a 0.28 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). GFPT Public Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for GFPT Public
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as GFPT Public. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of GFPT Public's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
GFPT Public Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. GFPT Public is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the GFPT Public's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold GFPT Public, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of GFPT Public within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | 0.28 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | -0.46 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.51 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.15 |
GFPT Public Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of GFPT Public for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for GFPT Public can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| About 44.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
GFPT Public Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of GFPT Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential GFPT Public's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. GFPT Public's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.3 B |
GFPT Public Technical Analysis
GFPT Public's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. GFPT Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of GFPT Public. In general, you should focus on analyzing GFPT Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
GFPT Public Predictive Forecast Models
GFPT Public's time-series forecasting models is one of many GFPT Public's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary GFPT Public's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about GFPT Public
Checking the ongoing alerts about GFPT Public for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for GFPT Public help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| About 44.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Check out GFPT Public Backtesting, GFPT Public Valuation, GFPT Public Correlation, GFPT Public Hype Analysis, GFPT Public Volatility, GFPT Public History as well as GFPT Public Performance. You can also try the Aroon Oscillator module to analyze current equity momentum using Aroon Oscillator and other momentum ratios.
Complementary Tools for GFPT Stock analysis
When running GFPT Public's price analysis, check to measure GFPT Public's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy GFPT Public is operating at the current time. Most of GFPT Public's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of GFPT Public's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move GFPT Public's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of GFPT Public to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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