Hope Education (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 0.017
| HE1 Stock | EUR 0.02 0.00 0.00% |
Hope |
Hope Education Target Price Odds to finish over 0.017
The tendency of Hope Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 0.02 | 90 days | 0.02 | about 9.52 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Hope Education to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 9.52 (This Hope Education Group probability density function shows the probability of Hope Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Hope Education Group has a beta of -0.35. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Hope Education are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Hope Education Group is likely to outperform the market. Moreover Hope Education Group has an alpha of 1.1039, implying that it can generate a 1.1 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Hope Education Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Hope Education
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Hope Education Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Hope Education Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Hope Education is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Hope Education's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Hope Education Group, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Hope Education within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 1.10 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.35 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.20 |
Hope Education Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Hope Education for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Hope Education Group can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Hope Education Group has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Hope Education Group appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Hope Education Group has accumulated 3.43 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.74, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Hope Education Group has a current ratio of 0.83, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Hope Education until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Hope Education's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Hope Education Group sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Hope to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Hope Education's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| About 53.0% of Hope Education shares are held by company insiders |
Hope Education Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Hope Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Hope Education's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Hope Education's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 8 B |
Hope Education Technical Analysis
Hope Education's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Hope Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Hope Education Group. In general, you should focus on analyzing Hope Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Hope Education Predictive Forecast Models
Hope Education's time-series forecasting models is one of many Hope Education's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Hope Education's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Hope Education Group
Checking the ongoing alerts about Hope Education for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Hope Education Group help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Hope Education Group has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Hope Education Group appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Hope Education Group has accumulated 3.43 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.74, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Hope Education Group has a current ratio of 0.83, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Hope Education until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Hope Education's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Hope Education Group sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Hope to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Hope Education's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| About 53.0% of Hope Education shares are held by company insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Hope Stock
Hope Education financial ratios help investors to determine whether Hope Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Hope with respect to the benefits of owning Hope Education security.