Koninklijke Heijmans (Netherlands) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 17.74

HEIJM Stock  EUR 17.74  0.30  1.72%   
Koninklijke Heijmans' future price is the expected price of Koninklijke Heijmans instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Koninklijke Heijmans NV performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Koninklijke Heijmans Backtesting, Koninklijke Heijmans Valuation, Koninklijke Heijmans Correlation, Koninklijke Heijmans Hype Analysis, Koninklijke Heijmans Volatility, Koninklijke Heijmans History as well as Koninklijke Heijmans Performance.
  
Please specify Koninklijke Heijmans' target price for which you would like Koninklijke Heijmans odds to be computed.

Koninklijke Heijmans Target Price Odds to finish over 17.74

The tendency of Koninklijke Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 17.74 90 days 17.74 
about 10.04
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Koninklijke Heijmans to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 10.04 (This Koninklijke Heijmans NV probability density function shows the probability of Koninklijke Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Koninklijke Heijmans has a beta of 0.32. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Koninklijke Heijmans average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Koninklijke Heijmans NV will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Koninklijke Heijmans NV has an alpha of 0.3733, implying that it can generate a 0.37 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Koninklijke Heijmans Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Koninklijke Heijmans

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Koninklijke Heijmans. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Koninklijke Heijmans' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
15.2917.7420.19
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
17.2319.6822.13
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
15.1717.6220.07
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
16.6317.3718.10
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Koninklijke Heijmans. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Koninklijke Heijmans' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Koninklijke Heijmans' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Koninklijke Heijmans.

Koninklijke Heijmans Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Koninklijke Heijmans is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Koninklijke Heijmans' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Koninklijke Heijmans NV, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Koninklijke Heijmans within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.37
β
Beta against NYSE Composite0.32
σ
Overall volatility
1.72
Ir
Information ratio 0.13

Koninklijke Heijmans Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Koninklijke Heijmans for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Koninklijke Heijmans can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The company has accumulated 9.87 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 39.0, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Koninklijke Heijmans has a current ratio of 0.95, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Koninklijke Heijmans until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Koninklijke Heijmans' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Koninklijke Heijmans sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Koninklijke to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Koninklijke Heijmans' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.

Koninklijke Heijmans Technical Analysis

Koninklijke Heijmans' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Koninklijke Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Koninklijke Heijmans NV. In general, you should focus on analyzing Koninklijke Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Koninklijke Heijmans Predictive Forecast Models

Koninklijke Heijmans' time-series forecasting models is one of many Koninklijke Heijmans' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Koninklijke Heijmans' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Koninklijke Heijmans

Checking the ongoing alerts about Koninklijke Heijmans for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Koninklijke Heijmans help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The company has accumulated 9.87 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 39.0, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Koninklijke Heijmans has a current ratio of 0.95, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Koninklijke Heijmans until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Koninklijke Heijmans' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Koninklijke Heijmans sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Koninklijke to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Koninklijke Heijmans' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.

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When running Koninklijke Heijmans' price analysis, check to measure Koninklijke Heijmans' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Koninklijke Heijmans is operating at the current time. Most of Koninklijke Heijmans' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Koninklijke Heijmans' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Koninklijke Heijmans' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Koninklijke Heijmans to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Koninklijke Heijmans' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Koninklijke Heijmans is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Koninklijke Heijmans' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.