Ihlas Gayrimenkul (Turkey) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 1.53

IHLGM Stock  TRY 1.53  0.04  2.68%   
Ihlas Gayrimenkul's future price is the expected price of Ihlas Gayrimenkul instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Ihlas Gayrimenkul Proje performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Ihlas Gayrimenkul Backtesting, Ihlas Gayrimenkul Valuation, Ihlas Gayrimenkul Correlation, Ihlas Gayrimenkul Hype Analysis, Ihlas Gayrimenkul Volatility, Ihlas Gayrimenkul History as well as Ihlas Gayrimenkul Performance.
  
Please specify Ihlas Gayrimenkul's target price for which you would like Ihlas Gayrimenkul odds to be computed.

Ihlas Gayrimenkul Target Price Odds to finish over 1.53

The tendency of Ihlas Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 1.53 90 days 1.53 
about 27.98
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Ihlas Gayrimenkul to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 27.98 (This Ihlas Gayrimenkul Proje probability density function shows the probability of Ihlas Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Ihlas Gayrimenkul Proje has a beta of -0.12. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Ihlas Gayrimenkul are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Ihlas Gayrimenkul Proje is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Ihlas Gayrimenkul Proje has an alpha of 0.0136, implying that it can generate a 0.0136 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Ihlas Gayrimenkul Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Ihlas Gayrimenkul

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Ihlas Gayrimenkul Proje. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Ihlas Gayrimenkul's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.071.494.31
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.061.234.05
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.031.544.36
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
1.301.491.62
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Ihlas Gayrimenkul. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Ihlas Gayrimenkul's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Ihlas Gayrimenkul's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Ihlas Gayrimenkul Proje.

Ihlas Gayrimenkul Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Ihlas Gayrimenkul is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Ihlas Gayrimenkul's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Ihlas Gayrimenkul Proje, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Ihlas Gayrimenkul within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.01
β
Beta against NYSE Composite-0.12
σ
Overall volatility
0.12
Ir
Information ratio -0.01

Ihlas Gayrimenkul Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Ihlas Gayrimenkul for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Ihlas Gayrimenkul Proje can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Ihlas Gayrimenkul may become a speculative penny stock
Ihlas Gayrimenkul Proje has accumulated about 100.13 M in cash with (61.38 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.42.
Roughly 21.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Ihlas Gayrimenkul Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Ihlas Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Ihlas Gayrimenkul's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Ihlas Gayrimenkul's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding1000 M
Short Long Term Debt22.9 M

Ihlas Gayrimenkul Technical Analysis

Ihlas Gayrimenkul's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Ihlas Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Ihlas Gayrimenkul Proje. In general, you should focus on analyzing Ihlas Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Ihlas Gayrimenkul Predictive Forecast Models

Ihlas Gayrimenkul's time-series forecasting models is one of many Ihlas Gayrimenkul's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Ihlas Gayrimenkul's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Ihlas Gayrimenkul Proje

Checking the ongoing alerts about Ihlas Gayrimenkul for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Ihlas Gayrimenkul Proje help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Ihlas Gayrimenkul may become a speculative penny stock
Ihlas Gayrimenkul Proje has accumulated about 100.13 M in cash with (61.38 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.42.
Roughly 21.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Check out Ihlas Gayrimenkul Backtesting, Ihlas Gayrimenkul Valuation, Ihlas Gayrimenkul Correlation, Ihlas Gayrimenkul Hype Analysis, Ihlas Gayrimenkul Volatility, Ihlas Gayrimenkul History as well as Ihlas Gayrimenkul Performance.
You can also try the Earnings Calls module to check upcoming earnings announcements updated hourly across public exchanges.

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When running Ihlas Gayrimenkul's price analysis, check to measure Ihlas Gayrimenkul's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Ihlas Gayrimenkul is operating at the current time. Most of Ihlas Gayrimenkul's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Ihlas Gayrimenkul's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Ihlas Gayrimenkul's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Ihlas Gayrimenkul to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Ihlas Gayrimenkul's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Ihlas Gayrimenkul is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Ihlas Gayrimenkul's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.