Immobel (Belgium) Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 28.10

IMMO Stock  EUR 28.10  0.20  0.71%   
Immobel's future price is the expected price of Immobel instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Immobel performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Immobel Backtesting, Immobel Valuation, Immobel Correlation, Immobel Hype Analysis, Immobel Volatility, Immobel History as well as Immobel Performance.
  
Please specify Immobel's target price for which you would like Immobel odds to be computed.

Immobel Target Price Odds to finish over 28.10

The tendency of Immobel Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 28.10 90 days 28.10 
about 6.65
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Immobel to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 6.65 (This Immobel probability density function shows the probability of Immobel Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Immobel has a beta of 0.22. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Immobel average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Immobel will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Immobel has an alpha of 0.0756, implying that it can generate a 0.0756 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Immobel Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Immobel

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Immobel. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Immobel's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
26.0028.1030.20
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
22.6324.7330.91
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
27.2429.3431.43
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
25.5327.2629.00
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Immobel. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Immobel's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Immobel's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Immobel.

Immobel Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Immobel is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Immobel's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Immobel, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Immobel within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.08
β
Beta against NYSE Composite0.22
σ
Overall volatility
1.83
Ir
Information ratio 0.02

Immobel Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Immobel for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Immobel can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Immobel has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
Immobel has accumulated about 171.36 M in cash with (21.27 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 19.52.
Roughly 59.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Immobel Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Immobel Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Immobel's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Immobel's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding79.9 M
Cash And Short Term Investments273.4 M

Immobel Technical Analysis

Immobel's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Immobel Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Immobel. In general, you should focus on analyzing Immobel Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Immobel Predictive Forecast Models

Immobel's time-series forecasting models is one of many Immobel's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Immobel's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Immobel

Checking the ongoing alerts about Immobel for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Immobel help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Immobel has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
Immobel has accumulated about 171.36 M in cash with (21.27 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 19.52.
Roughly 59.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Check out Immobel Backtesting, Immobel Valuation, Immobel Correlation, Immobel Hype Analysis, Immobel Volatility, Immobel History as well as Immobel Performance.
You can also try the Stock Tickers module to use high-impact, comprehensive, and customizable stock tickers that can be easily integrated to any websites.

Complementary Tools for Immobel Stock analysis

When running Immobel's price analysis, check to measure Immobel's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Immobel is operating at the current time. Most of Immobel's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Immobel's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Immobel's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Immobel to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Immobel's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Immobel is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Immobel's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.