Isbir Holding (Turkey) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 133.60
| ISBIR Stock | TRY 133.60 12.00 9.87% |
Isbir |
Isbir Holding Target Price Odds to finish over 133.60
The tendency of Isbir Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 133.60 | 90 days | 133.60 | about 19.27 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Isbir Holding to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 19.27 (This Isbir Holding AS probability density function shows the probability of Isbir Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Isbir Holding AS has a beta of -1.29. This usually indicates as returns on its benchmark rise, returns on holding Isbir Holding AS are expected to decrease by similarly larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoils, Isbir Holding is expected to outperform its benchmark. Additionally Isbir Holding AS has an alpha of 0.7601, implying that it can generate a 0.76 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Isbir Holding Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Isbir Holding
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Isbir Holding AS. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Isbir Holding's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Isbir Holding Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Isbir Holding is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Isbir Holding's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Isbir Holding AS, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Isbir Holding within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | 0.76 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | -1.29 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 14.55 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.14 |
Isbir Holding Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Isbir Holding for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Isbir Holding AS can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Isbir Holding AS appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Isbir Holding AS has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations |
Isbir Holding Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Isbir Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Isbir Holding's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Isbir Holding's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Dividends Paid | 2.4 M | |
| Forward Annual Dividend Rate | 0.5 | |
| Shares Float | 26.8 M |
Isbir Holding Technical Analysis
Isbir Holding's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Isbir Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Isbir Holding AS. In general, you should focus on analyzing Isbir Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Isbir Holding Predictive Forecast Models
Isbir Holding's time-series forecasting models is one of many Isbir Holding's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Isbir Holding's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Isbir Holding AS
Checking the ongoing alerts about Isbir Holding for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Isbir Holding AS help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Isbir Holding AS appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Isbir Holding AS has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations |
Check out Isbir Holding Backtesting, Isbir Holding Valuation, Isbir Holding Correlation, Isbir Holding Hype Analysis, Isbir Holding Volatility, Isbir Holding History as well as Isbir Holding Performance. You can also try the Idea Optimizer module to use advanced portfolio builder with pre-computed micro ideas to build optimal portfolio .
Complementary Tools for Isbir Stock analysis
When running Isbir Holding's price analysis, check to measure Isbir Holding's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Isbir Holding is operating at the current time. Most of Isbir Holding's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Isbir Holding's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Isbir Holding's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Isbir Holding to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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