Kinnevik Investment (Sweden) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 112.5
| KINV-B Stock | SEK 114.20 2.30 1.97% |
Kinnevik |
Kinnevik Investment Target Price Odds to finish over 112.5
The tendency of Kinnevik Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above kr 112.50 in 90 days |
| 114.20 | 90 days | 112.50 | about 42.74 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Kinnevik Investment to stay above kr 112.50 in 90 days from now is about 42.74 (This Kinnevik Investment AB probability density function shows the probability of Kinnevik Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Kinnevik Investment price to stay between kr 112.50 and its current price of kr114.2 at the end of the 90-day period is about 8.59 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Kinnevik Investment AB has a beta of -0.64. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Kinnevik Investment are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Kinnevik Investment AB is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Kinnevik Investment AB has an alpha of 0.0642, implying that it can generate a 0.0642 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Kinnevik Investment Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Kinnevik Investment
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Kinnevik Investment. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Kinnevik Investment's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Kinnevik Investment Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Kinnevik Investment is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Kinnevik Investment's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Kinnevik Investment AB, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Kinnevik Investment within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | 0.06 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | -0.64 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 7.54 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.0038 |
Kinnevik Investment Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Kinnevik Investment for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Kinnevik Investment can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| The company has accumulated 3.51 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 5.8, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Kinnevik Investment has a current ratio of 0.16, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Kinnevik Investment until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Kinnevik Investment's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Kinnevik Investment sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Kinnevik to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Kinnevik Investment's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. |
Kinnevik Investment Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Kinnevik Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Kinnevik Investment's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Kinnevik Investment's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 278.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 3.9 B |
Kinnevik Investment Technical Analysis
Kinnevik Investment's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Kinnevik Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Kinnevik Investment AB. In general, you should focus on analyzing Kinnevik Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Kinnevik Investment Predictive Forecast Models
Kinnevik Investment's time-series forecasting models is one of many Kinnevik Investment's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Kinnevik Investment's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Kinnevik Investment
Checking the ongoing alerts about Kinnevik Investment for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Kinnevik Investment help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| The company has accumulated 3.51 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 5.8, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Kinnevik Investment has a current ratio of 0.16, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Kinnevik Investment until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Kinnevik Investment's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Kinnevik Investment sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Kinnevik to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Kinnevik Investment's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. |
Check out Kinnevik Investment Backtesting, Kinnevik Investment Valuation, Kinnevik Investment Correlation, Kinnevik Investment Hype Analysis, Kinnevik Investment Volatility, Kinnevik Investment History as well as Kinnevik Investment Performance. You can also try the Price Ceiling Movement module to calculate and plot Price Ceiling Movement for different equity instruments.
Complementary Tools for Kinnevik Stock analysis
When running Kinnevik Investment's price analysis, check to measure Kinnevik Investment's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Kinnevik Investment is operating at the current time. Most of Kinnevik Investment's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Kinnevik Investment's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Kinnevik Investment's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Kinnevik Investment to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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