Libental (Israel) Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 1450.0
| LBTL Stock | ILS 1,323 17.00 1.27% |
Libental |
Libental Target Price Odds to finish below 1450.0
The tendency of Libental Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under S 1,450 after 90 days |
| 1,323 | 90 days | 1,450 | about 88.56 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Libental to stay under S 1,450 after 90 days from now is about 88.56 (This Libental probability density function shows the probability of Libental Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Libental price to stay between its current price of S 1,323 and S 1,450 at the end of the 90-day period is about 73.86 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Libental has a beta of 0.15. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Libental average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Libental will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Libental has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite. Libental Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Libental
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Libental. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Libental's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Libental Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Libental is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Libental's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Libental, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Libental within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.15 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 0.15 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 56.34 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.08 |
Libental Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Libental for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Libental can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Libental generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Libental has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| The company reported the revenue of 99.2 M. Net Loss for the year was (1.71 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 2.47 M. | |
| Libental has accumulated about 16.7 M in cash with (17.93 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.68. | |
| Roughly 57.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Libental Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Libental Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Libental's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Libental's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 10 M |
Libental Technical Analysis
Libental's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Libental Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Libental. In general, you should focus on analyzing Libental Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Libental Predictive Forecast Models
Libental's time-series forecasting models is one of many Libental's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Libental's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Libental
Checking the ongoing alerts about Libental for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Libental help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Libental generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Libental has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| The company reported the revenue of 99.2 M. Net Loss for the year was (1.71 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 2.47 M. | |
| Libental has accumulated about 16.7 M in cash with (17.93 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.68. | |
| Roughly 57.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Check out Libental Backtesting, Libental Valuation, Libental Correlation, Libental Hype Analysis, Libental Volatility, Libental History as well as Libental Performance. You can also try the Fundamental Analysis module to view fundamental data based on most recent published financial statements.
Complementary Tools for Libental Stock analysis
When running Libental's price analysis, check to measure Libental's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Libental is operating at the current time. Most of Libental's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Libental's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Libental's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Libental to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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