Luda Technology Group Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 4.49
| LUD Stock | 7.84 2.09 36.35% |
Luda Technology Target Price Odds to finish below 4.49
The tendency of Luda Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 4.49 or more in 90 days |
| 7.84 | 90 days | 4.49 | about 52.41 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Luda Technology to drop to 4.49 or more in 90 days from now is about 52.41 (This Luda Technology Group probability density function shows the probability of Luda Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Luda Technology Group price to stay between 4.49 and its current price of 7.84 at the end of the 90-day period is about 47.47 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Luda Technology has a beta of 0.83. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Luda Technology average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Luda Technology Group will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Luda Technology Group has an alpha of 0.6956, implying that it can generate a 0.7 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Luda Technology Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Luda Technology
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Luda Technology Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Luda Technology's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Luda Technology Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Luda Technology is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Luda Technology's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Luda Technology Group, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Luda Technology within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.70 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.83 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.63 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.09 |
Luda Technology Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Luda Technology for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Luda Technology Group can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Luda Technology is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Luda Technology appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| The company reported the last year's revenue of 44.86 M. Reported Net Loss for the year was (361.02 K) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 0. | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Luda Technology Group Stock Price Down 3.8 percent - Should You Sell - MarketBeat |
Luda Technology Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Luda Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Luda Technology's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Luda Technology's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 22.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 9.5 M |
Luda Technology Technical Analysis
Luda Technology's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Luda Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Luda Technology Group. In general, you should focus on analyzing Luda Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Luda Technology Predictive Forecast Models
Luda Technology's time-series forecasting models is one of many Luda Technology's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Luda Technology's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Luda Technology Group
Checking the ongoing alerts about Luda Technology for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Luda Technology Group help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Luda Technology is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Luda Technology appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| The company reported the last year's revenue of 44.86 M. Reported Net Loss for the year was (361.02 K) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 0. | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Luda Technology Group Stock Price Down 3.8 percent - Should You Sell - MarketBeat |
Check out Luda Technology Backtesting, Luda Technology Valuation, Luda Technology Correlation, Luda Technology Hype Analysis, Luda Technology Volatility, Luda Technology History as well as Luda Technology Performance. You can also try the Portfolio Backtesting module to avoid under-diversification and over-optimization by backtesting your portfolios.
Is Metals & Mining space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Luda Technology. If investors know Luda will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Luda Technology listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Luda Technology Group is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Luda that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Luda Technology's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Luda Technology's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Luda Technology's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Luda Technology's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Luda Technology's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Luda Technology is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Luda Technology's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.