MBK Public (Thailand) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 17.30
| MBK-R Stock | THB 17.30 1.15 7.12% |
MBK |
MBK Public Target Price Odds to finish over 17.30
The tendency of MBK Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 17.30 | 90 days | 17.30 | close to zero percent |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of MBK Public to move above the current price in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This MBK Public probability density function shows the probability of MBK Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon MBK Public has a beta of 0.14. This indicates as returns on the market go up, MBK Public average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding MBK Public will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally MBK Public has an alpha of 0.0457, implying that it can generate a 0.0457 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). MBK Public Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for MBK Public
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as MBK Public. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of MBK Public's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
MBK Public Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. MBK Public is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the MBK Public's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold MBK Public, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of MBK Public within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | 0.05 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 0.14 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.11 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.01 |
MBK Public Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of MBK Public for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for MBK Public can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| The company reported the revenue of 7.63 B. Net Loss for the year was (804.48 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 2.77 B. |
MBK Public Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of MBK Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential MBK Public's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. MBK Public's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.4 B |
MBK Public Technical Analysis
MBK Public's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. MBK Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of MBK Public. In general, you should focus on analyzing MBK Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
MBK Public Predictive Forecast Models
MBK Public's time-series forecasting models is one of many MBK Public's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary MBK Public's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about MBK Public
Checking the ongoing alerts about MBK Public for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for MBK Public help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| The company reported the revenue of 7.63 B. Net Loss for the year was (804.48 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 2.77 B. |
Check out MBK Public Backtesting, MBK Public Valuation, MBK Public Correlation, MBK Public Hype Analysis, MBK Public Volatility, MBK Public History as well as MBK Public Performance. You can also try the Money Flow Index module to determine momentum by analyzing Money Flow Index and other technical indicators.
Complementary Tools for MBK Stock analysis
When running MBK Public's price analysis, check to measure MBK Public's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy MBK Public is operating at the current time. Most of MBK Public's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of MBK Public's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move MBK Public's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of MBK Public to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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