MFC Industrial (Thailand) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 0.76
| MIT Stock | THB 0.49 0.02 3.92% |
MFC |
MFC Industrial Target Price Odds to finish below 0.76
The tendency of MFC Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under 0.76 after 90 days |
| 0.49 | 90 days | 0.76 | about 39.14 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of MFC Industrial to stay under 0.76 after 90 days from now is about 39.14 (This MFC Industrial Real probability density function shows the probability of MFC Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of MFC Industrial Real price to stay between its current price of 0.49 and 0.76 at the end of the 90-day period is about 38.92 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon MFC Industrial Real has a beta of -0.67. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding MFC Industrial are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, MFC Industrial Real is likely to outperform the market. Additionally MFC Industrial Real has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite. MFC Industrial Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for MFC Industrial
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as MFC Industrial Real. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of MFC Industrial's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
MFC Industrial Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. MFC Industrial is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the MFC Industrial's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold MFC Industrial Real, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of MFC Industrial within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.53 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | -0.67 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.11 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.12 |
MFC Industrial Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of MFC Industrial for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for MFC Industrial Real can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| MFC Industrial Real generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| MFC Industrial Real has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| MFC Industrial Real has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| MFC Industrial Real has accumulated about 88.54 M in cash with (2.27 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.91, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| Roughly 46.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
MFC Industrial Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of MFC Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential MFC Industrial's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. MFC Industrial's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 97.5 M |
MFC Industrial Technical Analysis
MFC Industrial's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. MFC Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of MFC Industrial Real. In general, you should focus on analyzing MFC Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
MFC Industrial Predictive Forecast Models
MFC Industrial's time-series forecasting models is one of many MFC Industrial's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary MFC Industrial's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about MFC Industrial Real
Checking the ongoing alerts about MFC Industrial for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for MFC Industrial Real help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| MFC Industrial Real generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| MFC Industrial Real has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| MFC Industrial Real has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| MFC Industrial Real has accumulated about 88.54 M in cash with (2.27 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.91, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| Roughly 46.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Check out MFC Industrial Backtesting, MFC Industrial Valuation, MFC Industrial Correlation, MFC Industrial Hype Analysis, MFC Industrial Volatility, MFC Industrial History as well as MFC Industrial Performance. You can also try the FinTech Suite module to use AI to screen and filter profitable investment opportunities.
Complementary Tools for MFC Stock analysis
When running MFC Industrial's price analysis, check to measure MFC Industrial's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy MFC Industrial is operating at the current time. Most of MFC Industrial's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of MFC Industrial's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move MFC Industrial's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of MFC Industrial to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
| My Watchlist Analysis Analyze my current watchlist and to refresh optimization strategy. Macroaxis watchlist is based on self-learning algorithm to remember stocks you like | |
| Price Transformation Use Price Transformation models to analyze the depth of different equity instruments across global markets | |
| Watchlist Optimization Optimize watchlists to build efficient portfolios or rebalance existing positions based on the mean-variance optimization algorithm | |
| Commodity Directory Find actively traded commodities issued by global exchanges | |
| Portfolio Anywhere Track or share privately all of your investments from the convenience of any device |