Nio (Germany) Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 3.90
| N3IA Stock | EUR 3.90 0.15 4.00% |
Nio |
Nio Target Price Odds to finish over 3.90
The tendency of Nio Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 3.90 | 90 days | 3.90 | about 1.76 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Nio to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 1.76 (This Nio Class A probability density function shows the probability of Nio Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Nio has a beta of 0.23. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Nio average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Nio Class A will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Nio Class A has an alpha of 0.3846, implying that it can generate a 0.38 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Nio Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Nio
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Nio Class A. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Nio Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Nio is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Nio's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Nio Class A, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Nio within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.38 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.23 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.28 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.08 |
Nio Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Nio for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Nio Class A can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Nio Class A had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Nio Class A has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 36.14 B. Net Loss for the year was (10.57 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 6.82 B. |
Nio Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Nio Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Nio's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Nio's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.7 B |
Nio Technical Analysis
Nio's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Nio Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Nio Class A. In general, you should focus on analyzing Nio Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Nio Predictive Forecast Models
Nio's time-series forecasting models is one of many Nio's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Nio's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Nio Class A
Checking the ongoing alerts about Nio for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Nio Class A help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Nio Class A had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Nio Class A has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 36.14 B. Net Loss for the year was (10.57 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 6.82 B. |
Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Nio Stock
When determining whether Nio Class A offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Nio's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Nio Class A Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Nio Class A Stock:Check out Nio Backtesting, Nio Valuation, Nio Correlation, Nio Hype Analysis, Nio Volatility, Nio History as well as Nio Performance. You can also try the Portfolio Rebalancing module to analyze risk-adjusted returns against different time horizons to find asset-allocation targets.