New Providence Acquisition Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 10.30

NPACU Stock   10.30  0.02  0.19%   
New Providence's future price is the expected price of New Providence instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of New Providence Acquisition performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out New Providence Backtesting, New Providence Valuation, New Providence Correlation, New Providence Hype Analysis, New Providence Volatility, New Providence History as well as New Providence Performance.
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New Providence Target Price Odds to finish over 10.30

The tendency of New Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 10.30 90 days 10.30 
about 42.45
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of New Providence to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 42.45 (This New Providence Acquisition probability density function shows the probability of New Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon New Providence has a beta of 0.0166. This indicates as returns on the market go up, New Providence average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding New Providence Acquisition will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally New Providence Acquisition has an alpha of 0.0359, implying that it can generate a 0.0359 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   New Providence Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for New Providence

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as New Providence Acqui. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of New Providence's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
9.7910.3010.81
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
9.8410.3510.86
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
9.9210.4310.93
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
10.1510.4310.71
Details

New Providence Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. New Providence is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the New Providence's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold New Providence Acquisition, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of New Providence within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.04
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.02
σ
Overall volatility
0.21
Ir
Information ratio -0.18

New Providence Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of New Providence for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for New Providence Acqui can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.

New Providence Technical Analysis

New Providence's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. New Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of New Providence Acquisition. In general, you should focus on analyzing New Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

New Providence Predictive Forecast Models

New Providence's time-series forecasting models is one of many New Providence's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary New Providence's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about New Providence Acqui

Checking the ongoing alerts about New Providence for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for New Providence Acqui help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.

Additional Tools for New Stock Analysis

When running New Providence's price analysis, check to measure New Providence's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy New Providence is operating at the current time. Most of New Providence's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of New Providence's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move New Providence's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of New Providence to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.