Oba Makarnaclk (Turkey) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 56.75
| OBAMS Stock | 56.75 0.95 1.70% |
Oba |
Oba Makarnaclk Target Price Odds to finish over 56.75
The tendency of Oba Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 56.75 | 90 days | 56.75 | about 63.89 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Oba Makarnaclk to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 63.89 (This Oba Makarnaclk San probability density function shows the probability of Oba Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Oba Makarnaclk San has a beta of -0.41. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Oba Makarnaclk are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Oba Makarnaclk San is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Oba Makarnaclk San has an alpha of 0.2116, implying that it can generate a 0.21 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Oba Makarnaclk Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Oba Makarnaclk
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Oba Makarnaclk San. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Oba Makarnaclk's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Oba Makarnaclk Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Oba Makarnaclk is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Oba Makarnaclk's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Oba Makarnaclk San, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Oba Makarnaclk within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.21 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.41 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 11.84 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0 |
Oba Makarnaclk Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Oba Makarnaclk for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Oba Makarnaclk San can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Oba Makarnaclk San generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Oba Makarnaclk San has high historical volatility and very poor performance |
Oba Makarnaclk Technical Analysis
Oba Makarnaclk's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Oba Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Oba Makarnaclk San. In general, you should focus on analyzing Oba Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Oba Makarnaclk Predictive Forecast Models
Oba Makarnaclk's time-series forecasting models is one of many Oba Makarnaclk's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Oba Makarnaclk's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Oba Makarnaclk San
Checking the ongoing alerts about Oba Makarnaclk for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Oba Makarnaclk San help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Oba Makarnaclk San generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Oba Makarnaclk San has high historical volatility and very poor performance |