PING AN (Germany) Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 11.30

PZXB Stock  EUR 11.30  0.10  0.89%   
PING AN's future price is the expected price of PING AN instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of PING AN INSURANCH performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out PING AN Backtesting, PING AN Valuation, PING AN Correlation, PING AN Hype Analysis, PING AN Volatility, PING AN History as well as PING AN Performance.
  
Please specify PING AN's target price for which you would like PING AN odds to be computed.

PING AN Target Price Odds to finish over 11.30

The tendency of PING Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 11.30 90 days 11.30 
roughly 2.76
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of PING AN to move above the current price in 90 days from now is roughly 2.76 (This PING AN INSURANCH probability density function shows the probability of PING Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon PING AN INSURANCH has a beta of -0.51 indicating as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding PING AN are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, PING AN INSURANCH is likely to outperform the market. Additionally PING AN INSURANCH has an alpha of 0.3971, implying that it can generate a 0.4 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   PING AN Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for PING AN

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as PING AN INSURANCH. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
9.0711.3013.53
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
6.999.2211.45
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
9.0911.3213.55
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
10.0010.7611.52
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as PING AN. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against PING AN's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, PING AN's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in PING AN INSURANCH.

PING AN Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. PING AN is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the PING AN's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold PING AN INSURANCH, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of PING AN within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.40
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.51
σ
Overall volatility
0.48
Ir
Information ratio 0.09

PING AN Technical Analysis

PING AN's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. PING Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of PING AN INSURANCH. In general, you should focus on analyzing PING Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

PING AN Predictive Forecast Models

PING AN's time-series forecasting models is one of many PING AN's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary PING AN's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards PING AN in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, PING AN's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from PING AN options trading.

Other Information on Investing in PING Stock

PING AN financial ratios help investors to determine whether PING Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in PING with respect to the benefits of owning PING AN security.