S2Medical (Sweden) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 0.0142

S2M Stock  SEK 0.01  0.0002  1.43%   
S2Medical's future price is the expected price of S2Medical instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of S2Medical AB performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out S2Medical Backtesting, S2Medical Valuation, S2Medical Correlation, S2Medical Hype Analysis, S2Medical Volatility, S2Medical History as well as S2Medical Performance.
  
Please specify S2Medical's target price for which you would like S2Medical odds to be computed.

S2Medical Target Price Odds to finish over 0.0142

The tendency of S2Medical Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 0.01 90 days 0.01 
about 61.16
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of S2Medical to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 61.16 (This S2Medical AB probability density function shows the probability of S2Medical Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.83 . This usually implies as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, S2Medical will likely underperform. Additionally S2Medical AB has an alpha of 0.2241, implying that it can generate a 0.22 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   S2Medical Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for S2Medical

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as S2Medical AB. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.018.37
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.018.37
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.00020.018.37
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.010.010.02
Details

S2Medical Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. S2Medical is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the S2Medical's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold S2Medical AB, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of S2Medical within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.22
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.83
σ
Overall volatility
0
Ir
Information ratio 0.04

S2Medical Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of S2Medical for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for S2Medical AB can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
S2Medical AB is way too risky over 90 days horizon
S2Medical AB has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
S2Medical AB appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
S2Medical AB has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the revenue of 7.7 M. Net Loss for the year was (20.08 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 7.42 M.
S2Medical AB has accumulated about 32.15 M in cash with (19.67 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 2.85, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow.
Roughly 38.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

S2Medical Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of S2Medical Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential S2Medical's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. S2Medical's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding107.5 M
Cash And Short Term Investments9.5 M

S2Medical Technical Analysis

S2Medical's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. S2Medical Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of S2Medical AB. In general, you should focus on analyzing S2Medical Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

S2Medical Predictive Forecast Models

S2Medical's time-series forecasting models is one of many S2Medical's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary S2Medical's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about S2Medical AB

Checking the ongoing alerts about S2Medical for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for S2Medical AB help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
S2Medical AB is way too risky over 90 days horizon
S2Medical AB has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
S2Medical AB appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
S2Medical AB has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the revenue of 7.7 M. Net Loss for the year was (20.08 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 7.42 M.
S2Medical AB has accumulated about 32.15 M in cash with (19.67 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 2.85, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow.
Roughly 38.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Additional Tools for S2Medical Stock Analysis

When running S2Medical's price analysis, check to measure S2Medical's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy S2Medical is operating at the current time. Most of S2Medical's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of S2Medical's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move S2Medical's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of S2Medical to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.