Safkar Ege (Turkey) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 39.22
| SAFKR Stock | TRY 39.22 1.64 4.01% |
Safkar |
Safkar Ege Target Price Odds to finish over 39.22
The tendency of Safkar Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 39.22 | 90 days | 39.22 | about 74.71 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Safkar Ege to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 74.71 (This Safkar Ege Sogutmacilik probability density function shows the probability of Safkar Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Safkar Ege Sogutmacilik has a beta of -0.47. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Safkar Ege are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Safkar Ege Sogutmacilik is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Safkar Ege Sogutmacilik has an alpha of 0.1301, implying that it can generate a 0.13 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Safkar Ege Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Safkar Ege
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Safkar Ege Sogutmacilik. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Safkar Ege's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Safkar Ege Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Safkar Ege is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Safkar Ege's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Safkar Ege Sogutmacilik, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Safkar Ege within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | 0.13 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | -0.47 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.75 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0 |
Safkar Ege Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Safkar Ege for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Safkar Ege Sogutmacilik can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Safkar Ege generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Safkar Ege has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| About 35.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Safkar Ege Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Safkar Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Safkar Ege's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Safkar Ege's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 35.2 M | |
| Short Long Term Debt | 17.1 M | |
| Shares Float | 23 M |
Safkar Ege Technical Analysis
Safkar Ege's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Safkar Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Safkar Ege Sogutmacilik. In general, you should focus on analyzing Safkar Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Safkar Ege Predictive Forecast Models
Safkar Ege's time-series forecasting models is one of many Safkar Ege's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Safkar Ege's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Safkar Ege Sogutmacilik
Checking the ongoing alerts about Safkar Ege for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Safkar Ege Sogutmacilik help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Safkar Ege generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Safkar Ege has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| About 35.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Check out Safkar Ege Backtesting, Safkar Ege Valuation, Safkar Ege Correlation, Safkar Ege Hype Analysis, Safkar Ege Volatility, Safkar Ege History as well as Safkar Ege Performance. You can also try the USA ETFs module to find actively traded Exchange Traded Funds (ETF) in USA.
Complementary Tools for Safkar Stock analysis
When running Safkar Ege's price analysis, check to measure Safkar Ege's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Safkar Ege is operating at the current time. Most of Safkar Ege's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Safkar Ege's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Safkar Ege's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Safkar Ege to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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