Smithfield Foods, Common Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 23.55
| SFD Stock | 23.55 0.04 0.17% |
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Smithfield Foods, Target Price Odds to finish over 23.55
The tendency of Smithfield Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 23.55 | 90 days | 23.55 | about 27.22 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Smithfield Foods, to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 27.22 (This Smithfield Foods, Common probability density function shows the probability of Smithfield Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Smithfield Foods, has a beta of 0.82. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Smithfield Foods, average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Smithfield Foods, Common will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Smithfield Foods, Common has an alpha of 0.1674, implying that it can generate a 0.17 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Smithfield Foods, Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Smithfield Foods,
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Smithfield Foods, Common. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Smithfield Foods, Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Smithfield Foods, is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Smithfield Foods,'s value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Smithfield Foods, Common, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Smithfield Foods, within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.17 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.82 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.32 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.08 |
Smithfield Foods, Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Smithfield Foods, for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Smithfield Foods, Common can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| About 94.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| On 29th of May 2025 Smithfield Foods, paid 0.25 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: NXT Energy Solutions Inc. Insider Sells C18,360.00 in Stock |
Smithfield Foods, Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Smithfield Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Smithfield Foods,'s investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Smithfield Foods,'s indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 3931.00 | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 943 M |
Smithfield Foods, Technical Analysis
Smithfield Foods,'s future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Smithfield Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Smithfield Foods, Common. In general, you should focus on analyzing Smithfield Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Smithfield Foods, Predictive Forecast Models
Smithfield Foods,'s time-series forecasting models is one of many Smithfield Foods,'s stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Smithfield Foods,'s historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Smithfield Foods, Common
Checking the ongoing alerts about Smithfield Foods, for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Smithfield Foods, Common help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| About 94.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| On 29th of May 2025 Smithfield Foods, paid 0.25 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: NXT Energy Solutions Inc. Insider Sells C18,360.00 in Stock |
Check out Smithfield Foods, Backtesting, Smithfield Foods, Valuation, Smithfield Foods, Correlation, Smithfield Foods, Hype Analysis, Smithfield Foods, Volatility, Smithfield Foods, History as well as Smithfield Foods, Performance. You can also try the Alpha Finder module to use alpha and beta coefficients to find investment opportunities after accounting for the risk.
Is Packaged Foods & Meats space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Smithfield Foods,. If investors know Smithfield will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Smithfield Foods, listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Smithfield Foods, Common is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Smithfield that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Smithfield Foods,'s value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Smithfield Foods,'s true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Smithfield Foods,'s market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Smithfield Foods,'s underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Smithfield Foods,'s value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Smithfield Foods, is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Smithfield Foods,'s price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.