Groupe Sfpi (France) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 1.91

SFPI Stock  EUR 1.91  0.00  0.00%   
Groupe Sfpi's future price is the expected price of Groupe Sfpi instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Groupe Sfpi performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Groupe Sfpi Backtesting, Groupe Sfpi Valuation, Groupe Sfpi Correlation, Groupe Sfpi Hype Analysis, Groupe Sfpi Volatility, Groupe Sfpi History as well as Groupe Sfpi Performance.
  
Please specify Groupe Sfpi's target price for which you would like Groupe Sfpi odds to be computed.

Groupe Sfpi Target Price Odds to finish over 1.91

The tendency of Groupe Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 1.91 90 days 1.91 
about 50.0
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Groupe Sfpi to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 50.0 (This Groupe Sfpi probability density function shows the probability of Groupe Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Groupe Sfpi has a beta of 0.12. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Groupe Sfpi average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Groupe Sfpi will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Groupe Sfpi has an alpha of 0.1026, implying that it can generate a 0.1 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Groupe Sfpi Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Groupe Sfpi

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Groupe Sfpi. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Groupe Sfpi's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.491.913.33
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.501.923.34
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.471.893.30
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
1.911.911.91
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Groupe Sfpi. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Groupe Sfpi's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Groupe Sfpi's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Groupe Sfpi.

Groupe Sfpi Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Groupe Sfpi is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Groupe Sfpi's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Groupe Sfpi, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Groupe Sfpi within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.10
β
Beta against NYSE Composite0.12
σ
Overall volatility
0.05
Ir
Information ratio 0.02

Groupe Sfpi Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Groupe Sfpi for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Groupe Sfpi can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Groupe Sfpi may become a speculative penny stock
About 62.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Groupe Sfpi Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Groupe Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Groupe Sfpi's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Groupe Sfpi's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding79.9 M
Cash And Short Term Investments155.9 M

Groupe Sfpi Technical Analysis

Groupe Sfpi's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Groupe Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Groupe Sfpi. In general, you should focus on analyzing Groupe Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Groupe Sfpi Predictive Forecast Models

Groupe Sfpi's time-series forecasting models is one of many Groupe Sfpi's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Groupe Sfpi's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Groupe Sfpi

Checking the ongoing alerts about Groupe Sfpi for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Groupe Sfpi help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Groupe Sfpi may become a speculative penny stock
About 62.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
Check out Groupe Sfpi Backtesting, Groupe Sfpi Valuation, Groupe Sfpi Correlation, Groupe Sfpi Hype Analysis, Groupe Sfpi Volatility, Groupe Sfpi History as well as Groupe Sfpi Performance.
You can also try the Price Transformation module to use Price Transformation models to analyze the depth of different equity instruments across global markets.

Complementary Tools for Groupe Stock analysis

When running Groupe Sfpi's price analysis, check to measure Groupe Sfpi's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Groupe Sfpi is operating at the current time. Most of Groupe Sfpi's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Groupe Sfpi's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Groupe Sfpi's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Groupe Sfpi to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Groupe Sfpi's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Groupe Sfpi is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Groupe Sfpi's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.