Somnigroup International Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 60.02
| SGI Stock | 65.30 0.32 0.49% |
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Somnigroup International Target Price Odds to finish over 60.02
The tendency of Somnigroup Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above 60.02 in 90 days |
| 65.30 | 90 days | 60.02 | about 67.85 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Somnigroup International to stay above 60.02 in 90 days from now is about 67.85 (This Somnigroup International probability density function shows the probability of Somnigroup Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Somnigroup International price to stay between 60.02 and its current price of 65.3 at the end of the 90-day period is about 53.75 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Somnigroup International has a beta of -0.16. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Somnigroup International are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Somnigroup International is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Somnigroup International has an alpha of 0.2873, implying that it can generate a 0.29 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Somnigroup International Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Somnigroup International
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Somnigroup International. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Somnigroup International Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Somnigroup International is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Somnigroup International's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Somnigroup International, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Somnigroup International within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.29 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.16 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 3.43 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.10 |
Somnigroup International Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Somnigroup International for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Somnigroup International can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Somnigroup International was previously known as TPX Old and was traded on NASDAQ Exchange under the symbol TPX. | |
| Over 81.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| On 5th of June 2025 Somnigroup International paid 0.15 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Somnigroup International Inc Announces Successful Term Loan B Repricing SGI stock news |
Somnigroup International Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Somnigroup Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Somnigroup International's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Somnigroup International's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 178.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 117.4 M |
Somnigroup International Technical Analysis
Somnigroup International's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Somnigroup Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Somnigroup International. In general, you should focus on analyzing Somnigroup Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Somnigroup International Predictive Forecast Models
Somnigroup International's time-series forecasting models is one of many Somnigroup International's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Somnigroup International's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Somnigroup International
Checking the ongoing alerts about Somnigroup International for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Somnigroup International help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Somnigroup International was previously known as TPX Old and was traded on NASDAQ Exchange under the symbol TPX. | |
| Over 81.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| On 5th of June 2025 Somnigroup International paid 0.15 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Somnigroup International Inc Announces Successful Term Loan B Repricing SGI stock news |
Check out Somnigroup International Backtesting, Somnigroup International Valuation, Somnigroup International Correlation, Somnigroup International Hype Analysis, Somnigroup International Volatility, Somnigroup International History as well as Somnigroup International Performance. For more detail on how to invest in Somnigroup Stock please use our How to Invest in Somnigroup International guide.You can also try the Fundamental Analysis module to view fundamental data based on most recent published financial statements.
Is Consumer Goods space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Somnigroup International. If investors know Somnigroup will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Somnigroup International listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.07) | Dividend Share 0.52 | Earnings Share 2.16 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.032 |
The market value of Somnigroup International is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Somnigroup that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Somnigroup International's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Somnigroup International's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Somnigroup International's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Somnigroup International's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Somnigroup International's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Somnigroup International is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Somnigroup International's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.