Piraeus Financial (Greece) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 3.98

TPEIR Stock  EUR 3.98  0.06  1.53%   
Piraeus Financial's future price is the expected price of Piraeus Financial instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Piraeus Financial Holdings performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Piraeus Financial Backtesting, Piraeus Financial Valuation, Piraeus Financial Correlation, Piraeus Financial Hype Analysis, Piraeus Financial Volatility, Piraeus Financial History as well as Piraeus Financial Performance.
  
Please specify Piraeus Financial's target price for which you would like Piraeus Financial odds to be computed.

Piraeus Financial Target Price Odds to finish over 3.98

The tendency of Piraeus Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 3.98 90 days 3.98 
about 23.51
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Piraeus Financial to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 23.51 (This Piraeus Financial Holdings probability density function shows the probability of Piraeus Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Piraeus Financial has a beta of 0.0047. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Piraeus Financial average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Piraeus Financial Holdings will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Piraeus Financial Holdings has an alpha of 0.227, implying that it can generate a 0.23 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Piraeus Financial Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Piraeus Financial

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Piraeus Financial. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Piraeus Financial's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
2.043.985.92
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
2.064.005.94
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Piraeus Financial. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Piraeus Financial's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Piraeus Financial's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Piraeus Financial.

Piraeus Financial Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Piraeus Financial is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Piraeus Financial's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Piraeus Financial Holdings, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Piraeus Financial within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.23
β
Beta against NYSE Composite0
σ
Overall volatility
0.18
Ir
Information ratio 0.08

Piraeus Financial Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Piraeus Financial for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Piraeus Financial can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The company reported the revenue of 2.31 B. Net Loss for the year was (3.01 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 2.1 B.
Piraeus Financial Holdings has accumulated about 20.06 B in cash with (1.74 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 16.06, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow.

Piraeus Financial Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Piraeus Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Piraeus Financial's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Piraeus Financial's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding1.2 B

Piraeus Financial Technical Analysis

Piraeus Financial's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Piraeus Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Piraeus Financial Holdings. In general, you should focus on analyzing Piraeus Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Piraeus Financial Predictive Forecast Models

Piraeus Financial's time-series forecasting models is one of many Piraeus Financial's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Piraeus Financial's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Piraeus Financial

Checking the ongoing alerts about Piraeus Financial for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Piraeus Financial help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The company reported the revenue of 2.31 B. Net Loss for the year was (3.01 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 2.1 B.
Piraeus Financial Holdings has accumulated about 20.06 B in cash with (1.74 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 16.06, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow.
Check out Piraeus Financial Backtesting, Piraeus Financial Valuation, Piraeus Financial Correlation, Piraeus Financial Hype Analysis, Piraeus Financial Volatility, Piraeus Financial History as well as Piraeus Financial Performance.
You can also try the Economic Indicators module to top statistical indicators that provide insights into how an economy is performing.

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When running Piraeus Financial's price analysis, check to measure Piraeus Financial's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Piraeus Financial is operating at the current time. Most of Piraeus Financial's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Piraeus Financial's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Piraeus Financial's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Piraeus Financial to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Piraeus Financial's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Piraeus Financial is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Piraeus Financial's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.