USA Compression Partners Probability of Future Bond Price Finishing Over 101.00

91740PAF5   101.00  0.78  0.78%   
91740PAF5's future price is the expected price of 91740PAF5 instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of USA Compression Partners performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out 91740PAF5 Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, 91740PAF5 Correlation, 91740PAF5 Hype Analysis, 91740PAF5 Volatility, 91740PAF5 History as well as 91740PAF5 Performance.
  
Please specify 91740PAF5's target price for which you would like 91740PAF5 odds to be computed.

91740PAF5 Target Price Odds to finish over 101.00

The tendency of 91740PAF5 Bond price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 101.00 90 days 101.00 
about 11.14
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of 91740PAF5 to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 11.14 (This USA Compression Partners probability density function shows the probability of 91740PAF5 Bond to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon USA Compression Partners has a beta of -0.0697. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding 91740PAF5 are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, USA Compression Partners is likely to outperform the market. Additionally USA Compression Partners has an alpha of 0.0272, implying that it can generate a 0.0272 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   91740PAF5 Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for 91740PAF5

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as USA Compression Partners. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the bond market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
100.75101.00101.25
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
95.1995.44111.10
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
101.80102.05102.30
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
96.5999.57102.55
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as 91740PAF5. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against 91740PAF5's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, 91740PAF5's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in USA Compression Partners.

91740PAF5 Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. 91740PAF5 is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the 91740PAF5's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold USA Compression Partners, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of 91740PAF5 within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.03
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.07
σ
Overall volatility
1.05
Ir
Information ratio -0.13

91740PAF5 Technical Analysis

91740PAF5's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. 91740PAF5 Bond technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of USA Compression Partners. In general, you should focus on analyzing 91740PAF5 Bond price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

91740PAF5 Predictive Forecast Models

91740PAF5's time-series forecasting models is one of many 91740PAF5's bond analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary 91740PAF5's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the bond market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards 91740PAF5 in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, 91740PAF5's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from 91740PAF5 options trading.

Other Information on Investing in 91740PAF5 Bond

91740PAF5 financial ratios help investors to determine whether 91740PAF5 Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in 91740PAF5 with respect to the benefits of owning 91740PAF5 security.