SHANGHAI ELECT (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 0.35

USR Stock  EUR 0.35  0.02  6.06%   
SHANGHAI ELECT's future price is the expected price of SHANGHAI ELECT instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of SHANGHAI ELECT H performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out SHANGHAI ELECT Backtesting, SHANGHAI ELECT Valuation, SHANGHAI ELECT Correlation, SHANGHAI ELECT Hype Analysis, SHANGHAI ELECT Volatility, SHANGHAI ELECT History as well as SHANGHAI ELECT Performance.
  
Please specify SHANGHAI ELECT's target price for which you would like SHANGHAI ELECT odds to be computed.

SHANGHAI ELECT Target Price Odds to finish over 0.35

The tendency of SHANGHAI Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 0.35 90 days 0.35 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of SHANGHAI ELECT to move above the current price in 90 days from now is near 1 (This SHANGHAI ELECT H probability density function shows the probability of SHANGHAI Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon SHANGHAI ELECT has a beta of 0.14. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, SHANGHAI ELECT average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding SHANGHAI ELECT H will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally SHANGHAI ELECT H has an alpha of 0.2305, implying that it can generate a 0.23 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   SHANGHAI ELECT Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for SHANGHAI ELECT

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as SHANGHAI ELECT H. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.020.352.01
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.010.281.94
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.010.362.01
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.290.310.33
Details

SHANGHAI ELECT Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. SHANGHAI ELECT is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the SHANGHAI ELECT's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold SHANGHAI ELECT H , one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of SHANGHAI ELECT within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.23
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.14
σ
Overall volatility
0.01
Ir
Information ratio 0.08

SHANGHAI ELECT Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of SHANGHAI ELECT for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for SHANGHAI ELECT H can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
SHANGHAI ELECT H has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
The company reported the revenue of 131.39 B. Net Loss for the year was (9.99 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.
SHANGHAI ELECT generates negative cash flow from operations

SHANGHAI ELECT Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of SHANGHAI Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential SHANGHAI ELECT's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. SHANGHAI ELECT's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding15.7 B
Short Long Term Debt11.8 B

SHANGHAI ELECT Technical Analysis

SHANGHAI ELECT's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. SHANGHAI Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of SHANGHAI ELECT H . In general, you should focus on analyzing SHANGHAI Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

SHANGHAI ELECT Predictive Forecast Models

SHANGHAI ELECT's time-series forecasting models is one of many SHANGHAI ELECT's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary SHANGHAI ELECT's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about SHANGHAI ELECT H

Checking the ongoing alerts about SHANGHAI ELECT for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for SHANGHAI ELECT H help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
SHANGHAI ELECT H has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
The company reported the revenue of 131.39 B. Net Loss for the year was (9.99 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.
SHANGHAI ELECT generates negative cash flow from operations

Additional Tools for SHANGHAI Stock Analysis

When running SHANGHAI ELECT's price analysis, check to measure SHANGHAI ELECT's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy SHANGHAI ELECT is operating at the current time. Most of SHANGHAI ELECT's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of SHANGHAI ELECT's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move SHANGHAI ELECT's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of SHANGHAI ELECT to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.