Value8 NV (Netherlands) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 5.7

VALUE Stock  EUR 5.75  0.05  0.88%   
Value8 NV's future price is the expected price of Value8 NV instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Value8 NV performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Value8 NV Backtesting, Value8 NV Valuation, Value8 NV Correlation, Value8 NV Hype Analysis, Value8 NV Volatility, Value8 NV History as well as Value8 NV Performance.
  
Please specify Value8 NV's target price for which you would like Value8 NV odds to be computed.

Value8 NV Target Price Odds to finish over 5.7

The tendency of Value8 Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above € 5.70  in 90 days
 5.75 90 days 5.70 
about 17.8
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Value8 NV to stay above € 5.70  in 90 days from now is about 17.8 (This Value8 NV probability density function shows the probability of Value8 Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Value8 NV price to stay between € 5.70  and its current price of €5.75 at the end of the 90-day period is about 8.25 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Value8 NV has a beta of -0.14. This entails as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Value8 NV are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Value8 NV is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Value8 NV has an alpha of 0.0219, implying that it can generate a 0.0219 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Value8 NV Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Value8 NV

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Value8 NV. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Value8 NV's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
4.505.757.00
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
3.454.705.95
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
4.425.676.92
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
5.285.615.94
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Value8 NV. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Value8 NV's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Value8 NV's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Value8 NV.

Value8 NV Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Value8 NV is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Value8 NV's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Value8 NV, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Value8 NV within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.02
β
Beta against NYSE Composite-0.14
σ
Overall volatility
0.13
Ir
Information ratio -0.06

Value8 NV Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Value8 NV for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Value8 NV can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Value8 NV has accumulated about 34 M in cash with (12.33 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 3.49.
Roughly 66.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders

Value8 NV Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Value8 Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Value8 NV's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Value8 NV's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding9.7 M

Value8 NV Technical Analysis

Value8 NV's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Value8 Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Value8 NV. In general, you should focus on analyzing Value8 Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Value8 NV Predictive Forecast Models

Value8 NV's time-series forecasting models is one of many Value8 NV's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Value8 NV's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Value8 NV

Checking the ongoing alerts about Value8 NV for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Value8 NV help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Value8 NV has accumulated about 34 M in cash with (12.33 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 3.49.
Roughly 66.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders
Check out Value8 NV Backtesting, Value8 NV Valuation, Value8 NV Correlation, Value8 NV Hype Analysis, Value8 NV Volatility, Value8 NV History as well as Value8 NV Performance.
Note that the Value8 NV information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Value8 NV's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Commodity Directory module to find actively traded commodities issued by global exchanges.

Complementary Tools for Value8 Stock analysis

When running Value8 NV's price analysis, check to measure Value8 NV's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Value8 NV is operating at the current time. Most of Value8 NV's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Value8 NV's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Value8 NV's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Value8 NV to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Value8 NV's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Value8 NV is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Value8 NV's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.