Vestas Wind (Denmark) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 185.05

VWS Stock  DKK 185.05  1.50  0.82%   
Vestas Wind's future price is the expected price of Vestas Wind instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Vestas Wind Systems performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Vestas Wind Backtesting, Vestas Wind Valuation, Vestas Wind Correlation, Vestas Wind Hype Analysis, Vestas Wind Volatility, Vestas Wind History as well as Vestas Wind Performance.
  
Please specify Vestas Wind's target price for which you would like Vestas Wind odds to be computed.

Vestas Wind Target Price Odds to finish over 185.05

The tendency of Vestas Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 185.05 90 days 185.05 
about 70.86
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Vestas Wind to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 70.86 (This Vestas Wind Systems probability density function shows the probability of Vestas Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Vestas Wind has a beta of 0.37. This entails as returns on the market go up, Vestas Wind average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Vestas Wind Systems will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Vestas Wind Systems has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite.
   Vestas Wind Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Vestas Wind

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Vestas Wind Systems. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Vestas Wind's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
181.68183.55185.42
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
165.20186.01187.88
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
190.68192.54194.41
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
170.07184.38198.68
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Vestas Wind. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Vestas Wind's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Vestas Wind's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Vestas Wind Systems.

Vestas Wind Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Vestas Wind is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Vestas Wind's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Vestas Wind Systems, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Vestas Wind within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
-0.1
β
Beta against NYSE Composite0.37
σ
Overall volatility
7.01
Ir
Information ratio -0.08

Vestas Wind Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Vestas Wind for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Vestas Wind Systems can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Vestas Wind Systems generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The company reported the revenue of 14.49 B. Net Loss for the year was (1.57 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 118 M.
Vestas Wind Systems has accumulated about 1.92 B in cash with (195 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.9.

Vestas Wind Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Vestas Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Vestas Wind's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Vestas Wind's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares OutstandingB

Vestas Wind Technical Analysis

Vestas Wind's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Vestas Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Vestas Wind Systems. In general, you should focus on analyzing Vestas Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Vestas Wind Predictive Forecast Models

Vestas Wind's time-series forecasting models is one of many Vestas Wind's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Vestas Wind's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Vestas Wind Systems

Checking the ongoing alerts about Vestas Wind for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Vestas Wind Systems help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Vestas Wind Systems generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The company reported the revenue of 14.49 B. Net Loss for the year was (1.57 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 118 M.
Vestas Wind Systems has accumulated about 1.92 B in cash with (195 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.9.
Check out Vestas Wind Backtesting, Vestas Wind Valuation, Vestas Wind Correlation, Vestas Wind Hype Analysis, Vestas Wind Volatility, Vestas Wind History as well as Vestas Wind Performance.
You can also try the Content Syndication module to quickly integrate customizable finance content to your own investment portal.

Complementary Tools for Vestas Stock analysis

When running Vestas Wind's price analysis, check to measure Vestas Wind's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Vestas Wind is operating at the current time. Most of Vestas Wind's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Vestas Wind's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Vestas Wind's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Vestas Wind to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
Premium Stories
Follow Macroaxis premium stories from verified contributors across different equity types, categories and coverage scope
Transaction History
View history of all your transactions and understand their impact on performance
Portfolio Analyzer
Portfolio analysis module that provides access to portfolio diagnostics and optimization engine
ETFs
Find actively traded Exchange Traded Funds (ETF) from around the world
Content Syndication
Quickly integrate customizable finance content to your own investment portal
Insider Screener
Find insiders across different sectors to evaluate their impact on performance
Options Analysis
Analyze and evaluate options and option chains as a potential hedge for your portfolios
Share Portfolio
Track or share privately all of your investments from the convenience of any device
Price Exposure Probability
Analyze equity upside and downside potential for a given time horizon across multiple markets
Portfolio Diagnostics
Use generated alerts and portfolio events aggregator to diagnose current holdings
Cryptocurrency Center
Build and monitor diversified portfolio of extremely risky digital assets and cryptocurrency
Watchlist Optimization
Optimize watchlists to build efficient portfolios or rebalance existing positions based on the mean-variance optimization algorithm
Please note, there is a significant difference between Vestas Wind's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Vestas Wind is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Vestas Wind's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.