Tokens Corp Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 0.35

XBOT Stock   0.38  0.01  2.56%   
Tokens Corp's future price is the expected price of Tokens Corp instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Tokens Corp performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Tokens Corp Backtesting, Tokens Corp Valuation, Tokens Corp Correlation, Tokens Corp Hype Analysis, Tokens Corp Volatility, Tokens Corp History as well as Tokens Corp Performance.
  
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Tokens Corp Target Price Odds to finish over 0.35

The tendency of Tokens Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above  0.35  in 90 days
 0.38 90 days 0.35 
about 65.33
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Tokens Corp to stay above  0.35  in 90 days from now is about 65.33 (This Tokens Corp probability density function shows the probability of Tokens Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Tokens Corp price to stay between  0.35  and its current price of 0.38 at the end of the 90-day period is about 15.33 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 2.04 . This entails as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Tokens Corp will likely underperform. Additionally Tokens Corp has an alpha of 0.6003, implying that it can generate a 0.6 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Tokens Corp Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Tokens Corp

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Tokens Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Tokens Corp's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.020.418.93
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.020.358.87
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.010.318.83
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.370.400.43
Details

Tokens Corp Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Tokens Corp is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Tokens Corp's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Tokens Corp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Tokens Corp within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.60
β
Beta against Dow Jones2.04
σ
Overall volatility
0.08
Ir
Information ratio 0.09

Tokens Corp Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Tokens Corp for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Tokens Corp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Tokens Corp is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Tokens Corp has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Tokens Corp appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
About 41.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders
Latest headline from news.google.com: Tech Voices Robinhood stock tokens, X vs. Indian censors, Wolfspeed - Seeking Alpha

Tokens Corp Technical Analysis

Tokens Corp's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Tokens Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Tokens Corp. In general, you should focus on analyzing Tokens Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Tokens Corp Predictive Forecast Models

Tokens Corp's time-series forecasting models is one of many Tokens Corp's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Tokens Corp's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Tokens Corp

Checking the ongoing alerts about Tokens Corp for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Tokens Corp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Tokens Corp is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Tokens Corp has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Tokens Corp appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
About 41.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders
Latest headline from news.google.com: Tech Voices Robinhood stock tokens, X vs. Indian censors, Wolfspeed - Seeking Alpha

Additional Tools for Tokens Stock Analysis

When running Tokens Corp's price analysis, check to measure Tokens Corp's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Tokens Corp is operating at the current time. Most of Tokens Corp's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Tokens Corp's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Tokens Corp's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Tokens Corp to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.