Yuanbao American Depositary Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 20.85

YB Stock   20.85  0.16  0.76%   
Yuanbao American's future price is the expected price of Yuanbao American instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Yuanbao American Depositary performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Yuanbao American Backtesting, Yuanbao American Valuation, Yuanbao American Correlation, Yuanbao American Hype Analysis, Yuanbao American Volatility, Yuanbao American History as well as Yuanbao American Performance.
Please specify Yuanbao American's target price for which you would like Yuanbao American odds to be computed.

Yuanbao American Target Price Odds to finish over 20.85

The tendency of Yuanbao Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 20.85 90 days 20.85 
about 11.64
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Yuanbao American to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 11.64 (This Yuanbao American Depositary probability density function shows the probability of Yuanbao Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon Yuanbao American has a beta of 0.11. This entails as returns on the market go up, Yuanbao American average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Yuanbao American Depositary will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Yuanbao American Depositary has an alpha of 0.6531, implying that it can generate a 0.65 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Yuanbao American Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Yuanbao American

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Yuanbao American Dep. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
1.0921.742,107
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.8116.132,101
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.3718.47165.87
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
14.7419.4124.09
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Yuanbao American. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Yuanbao American's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Yuanbao American's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Yuanbao American Dep.

Yuanbao American Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Yuanbao American is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Yuanbao American's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Yuanbao American Depositary, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Yuanbao American within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.65
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.11
σ
Overall volatility
3.68
Ir
Information ratio 0.14

Yuanbao American Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Yuanbao American for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Yuanbao American Dep can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Yuanbao American Dep is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Yuanbao American Dep appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Yuanbao American Dep is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
Yuanbao American Dep has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Wall Street Zen Downgrades Yuanbao to Hold

Yuanbao American Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Yuanbao Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Yuanbao American's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Yuanbao American's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding45.1 M
Cash And Short Term Investments2.3 B

Yuanbao American Technical Analysis

Yuanbao American's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Yuanbao Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Yuanbao American Depositary. In general, you should focus on analyzing Yuanbao Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Yuanbao American Predictive Forecast Models

Yuanbao American's time-series forecasting models is one of many Yuanbao American's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Yuanbao American's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Yuanbao American Dep

Checking the ongoing alerts about Yuanbao American for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Yuanbao American Dep help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Yuanbao American Dep is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Yuanbao American Dep appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Yuanbao American Dep is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
Yuanbao American Dep has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Wall Street Zen Downgrades Yuanbao to Hold
Check out Yuanbao American Backtesting, Yuanbao American Valuation, Yuanbao American Correlation, Yuanbao American Hype Analysis, Yuanbao American Volatility, Yuanbao American History as well as Yuanbao American Performance.
You can also try the Watchlist Optimization module to optimize watchlists to build efficient portfolios or rebalance existing positions based on the mean-variance optimization algorithm.
Is Insurance space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Yuanbao American. If investors know Yuanbao will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Yuanbao American listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Yuanbao American Dep is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Yuanbao that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Yuanbao American's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Yuanbao American's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Yuanbao American's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Yuanbao American's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Yuanbao American's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Yuanbao American is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Yuanbao American's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.