Kapuas Prima (Indonesia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 11.00
| ZINC Stock | IDR 11.00 1.00 8.33% |
Kapuas |
Kapuas Prima Target Price Odds to finish over 11.00
The tendency of Kapuas Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 11.00 | 90 days | 11.00 | close to 99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Kapuas Prima to move above the current price in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Kapuas Prima Coal probability density function shows the probability of Kapuas Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.35 . This usually means as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Kapuas Prima will likely underperform. Additionally Kapuas Prima Coal has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite. Kapuas Prima Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Kapuas Prima
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Kapuas Prima Coal. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Kapuas Prima's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Kapuas Prima Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Kapuas Prima is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Kapuas Prima's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Kapuas Prima Coal, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Kapuas Prima within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -2.19 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 1.35 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 12.42 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.6 |
Kapuas Prima Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Kapuas Prima for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Kapuas Prima Coal can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Kapuas Prima Coal generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Kapuas Prima Coal has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Kapuas Prima generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| About 65.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders |
Kapuas Prima Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Kapuas Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Kapuas Prima's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Kapuas Prima's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 25.2 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 177.2 B |
Kapuas Prima Technical Analysis
Kapuas Prima's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Kapuas Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Kapuas Prima Coal. In general, you should focus on analyzing Kapuas Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Kapuas Prima Predictive Forecast Models
Kapuas Prima's time-series forecasting models is one of many Kapuas Prima's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Kapuas Prima's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Kapuas Prima Coal
Checking the ongoing alerts about Kapuas Prima for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Kapuas Prima Coal help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Kapuas Prima Coal generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Kapuas Prima Coal has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Kapuas Prima generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| About 65.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders |
Check out Kapuas Prima Backtesting, Kapuas Prima Valuation, Kapuas Prima Correlation, Kapuas Prima Hype Analysis, Kapuas Prima Volatility, Kapuas Prima History as well as Kapuas Prima Performance. You can also try the USA ETFs module to find actively traded Exchange Traded Funds (ETF) in USA.
Complementary Tools for Kapuas Stock analysis
When running Kapuas Prima's price analysis, check to measure Kapuas Prima's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Kapuas Prima is operating at the current time. Most of Kapuas Prima's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Kapuas Prima's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Kapuas Prima's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Kapuas Prima to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
| Positions Ratings Determine portfolio positions ratings based on digital equity recommendations. Macroaxis instant position ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance | |
| Balance Of Power Check stock momentum by analyzing Balance Of Power indicator and other technical ratios | |
| Fundamental Analysis View fundamental data based on most recent published financial statements | |
| Stock Screener Find equities using a custom stock filter or screen asymmetry in trading patterns, price, volume, or investment outlook. | |
| Portfolio Manager State of the art Portfolio Manager to monitor and improve performance of your invested capital |