Almonty Industries Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

AII Stock  CAD 12.07  0.05  0.41%   
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Almonty Industries is 'Cautious Hold'. The recommendation algorithm takes into account all of Almonty Industries' available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.
  
Check out Almonty Industries Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Almonty and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Almonty Industries. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in employment.

Execute Almonty Industries Buy or Sell Advice

The Almonty recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Almonty Industries. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Almonty Industries or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Almonty Industries' advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Almonty IndustriesBuy Almonty Industries
Cautious Hold

Market Performance

FairDetails

Volatility

Slightly riskyDetails

Hype Condition

Under hypedDetails

Current Valuation

Fairly ValuedDetails

Odds Of Distress

LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Follows the market closelyDetails

Analyst Consensus

Not AvailableDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

InapplicableDetails
For the selected time horizon Almonty Industries has a Mean Deviation of 4.82, Semi Deviation of 4.7, Standard Deviation of 6.37, Variance of 40.6, Downside Variance of 24.95 and Semi Variance of 22.1
Our trade advice tool can cross-verify current analyst consensus on Almonty Industries and to analyze the company potential to grow in the current economic cycle. To make sure Almonty Industries is not overpriced, please confirm all Almonty Industries fundamentals, including its ebitda, current ratio, and the relationship between the price to sales and cash per share .

Almonty Industries Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Almonty Industries is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Almonty Industries appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Almonty Industries has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
Almonty Industries has accumulated 158.02 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 85.5, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Almonty Industries has a current ratio of 0.43, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Almonty Industries until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Almonty Industries' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Almonty Industries sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Almonty to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Almonty Industries' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
The entity reported the revenue of 28.84 M. Net Loss for the year was (16.3 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.62 M.
Almonty Industries has accumulated about 5.17 M in cash with (7.5 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.03.
Roughly 34.0% of Almonty Industries shares are held by company insiders
Latest headline from news.google.com: ALI.DE After Hours Today What Investors Should Know - Meyka

Almonty Industries Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Almonty Industries' historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Almonty Industries' future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Almonty Industries daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Almonty Industries price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Almonty Industries returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Almonty Industries.
Mean Return
0.76
Value At Risk
-8
Potential Upside
9.41
Standard Deviation
6.37
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Almonty Industries historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Almonty Industries Cash Flow Accounts

202120222023202420252026 (projected)
Change In Cash(1.3M)7.4M13.6M(14.2M)(12.8M)(12.1M)
Free Cash Flow(18.4M)(28.3M)(29.2M)(43.7M)(39.4M)(37.4M)
Other Non Cash Items(1.8M)4.0M3.3M9.5M10.9M11.5M
Capital Expenditures10.0M22.8M17.5M36.2M41.7M43.7M
Net Income(7.8M)(14.5M)(8.8M)(16.3M)(14.7M)(13.9M)
End Period Cash Flow1.0M8.4M22.0M7.8M9.0M6.0M
Depreciation1.8M1.3M1.1M1.1M1.0M957.6K
Change To Inventory(1.1M)1.0M(2.0M)1.1M1.3M1.3M
Investments(10.0M)(22.8M)(21.5M)(36.2M)(32.6M)(31.0M)
Net Borrowings8.2M33.3M38.8M20.0M23.0M15.5M

Almonty Industries Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Almonty Industries or Metals & Mining sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Almonty Industries' price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Almonty stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.72
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.73
σ
Overall volatility
6.57
Ir
Information ratio 0.11

Almonty Industries Volatility Alert

Almonty Industries is displaying above-average volatility over the selected time horizon. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Almonty Industries' stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Almonty Industries' stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Almonty Industries Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Almonty Industries' fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Almonty Industries' direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Almonty Industries and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Almonty Industries or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Almonty Industries' fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Almonty Industries by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Almonty Industries to competition
FundamentalsAlmonty IndustriesPeer Average
Return On Equity-0.57-0.31
Return On Asset-0.0383-0.14
Profit Margin(2.16) %(1.27) %
Operating Margin(0.36) %(5.51) %
Current Valuation3.18 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding256.49 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders34.06 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions7.99 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted1.1 M4.71 M
Price To Book18.07 X9.51 X
Price To Sales102.94 X11.42 X
Revenue28.84 M9.43 B
Gross Profit1.62 M27.38 B
EBITDA(10.24 M)3.9 B
Net Income(16.3 M)570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents5.17 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share0.03 X5.01 X
Total Debt158.02 M5.32 B
Debt To Equity85.50 %48.70 %
Current Ratio0.44 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share0.76 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations(7.5 M)971.22 M
Short Ratio1.57 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share(0.33) X3.12 X
Target Price10.45
Beta1.43-0.15
Market Capitalization3.1 B19.03 B
Total Asset256.35 M29.47 B
Retained Earnings(120.22 M)9.33 B
Working Capital(30.54 M)1.48 B
Net Asset256.35 M

Almonty Industries Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Almonty . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Almonty Industries Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Almonty Industries? Buying financial instruments such as Almonty Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

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Other Information on Investing in Almonty Stock

Almonty Industries financial ratios help investors to determine whether Almonty Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Almonty with respect to the benefits of owning Almonty Industries security.