Morningstar Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

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MORN -- USA Stock  

USD 149.98  3.61  2.35%

Given the investment horizon of 30 days, and your above average risk tolerance our recommendation regarding Morningstar is 'Cautious Hold'. Macroaxis provides Morningstar buy hold or sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding MORN positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Morningstar available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. The advice is provided from MORN buy-and-hold perspective. Additionally, see Morningstar Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments please use Instant Ratings tool.

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Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

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Sell MorningstarBuy Morningstar
Cautious Hold

Volatility

Hype Condition

Current Valuation

Odds of Distress

Economic Sensitivity

Analyst Consensus

Piotroski F Score

Financial Leverage

Inapplicable
For the selected time horizon Morningstar has a mean deviation of 2.21, semi deviation of 3.33, standard deviation of 3.1, variance of 9.58, downside variance of 11.55 and semi variance of 11.08
Macroaxis provides buy or sell recommendations on Morningstar to complement and cross-verify current analyst consensus">analyst consensus on Morningstar. Our advice engine determines the firm potential to grow exclusively from the perspective of investors current risk tolerance and investing horizon. To make sure Morningstar is not overpriced, please verify all Morningstar fundamentals, including its Revenue, Cash Flow from Operations, Current Asset, as well as the relationship between Cash per Share and Beta . Given that Morningstar has Price to Earning of 43.03 , we recommend you check Morningstar market performance and probability of bankruptcy to make sure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your last-minute risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Morningstar Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Morningstar has very high historical volatility over the last 30 days
About 49.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Morningstar exotic insider transaction detected

Morningstar Returns Distribution Density

Mean Return0.1Value At Risk-5.59
Potential Upside4.67Standard Deviation3.10
 Return Density 
      Distribution 

Morningstar Cash Flow Accounts

2014201520162017201820192020 (projected)
Capital Expenditure(58.3 M)(57.3 M)(62.8 M)(66.6 M)(76.1 M)(80 M)(82.11 M)
Depreciation Amortization and Accretion54.9 M64.4 M70.7 M91.2 M96.7 M117.7 M98.73 M
Net Cash Flow or Change in Cash and Cash Equivalents17 M21.9 M52 M49.1 M61.1 M(35.2 M)(36.13 M)
Net Cash Flow Business Acquisitions and Disposals(64.4 M)(11.1 M)(191.6 M)22.7 M10.1 M(681.9 M)(699.84 M)
Issuance Purchase of Equity Shares(70.1 M)(93.1 M)(48.4 M)(42.1 M)(20.8 M)(4.7 M)(5.07 M)
Issuance Repayment of Debt Securities30 M5 M215 M(70 M)(110 M)444.4 M479.48 M
Payment of Dividends and Other Cash Distributions(30.5 M)(33.7 M)(37.9 M)(39.3 M)(42.6 M)(47.8 M)(51.57 M)
Net Cash Flow from Financing(76.1 M)(127.5 M)123.7 M(157.5 M)(188.8 M)373.7 M403.2 M
Net Cash Flow from Investing(31.2 M)(79.5 M)(274.2 M)(60.8 M)(49.9 M)(746.3 M)(765.94 M)
Net Cash Flow Investment Acquisitions and Disposals91.2 M(10.9 M)(19.9 M)(17.5 M)16 M15.7 M16.94 M
Net Cash Flow from Operations136.6 M241.5 M213.7 M250.1 M314.8 M334.4 M324.1 M
Effect of Exchange Rate Changes on Cash(12.3 M)(12.6 M)(11.2 M)17.3 M(15 M)3 M3.24 M
Share Based Compensation17.6 M17.4 M14.5 M24.1 M31.7 M44.4 M47.91 M

Morningstar Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Morningstar or Trading sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Morningstar stock's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Morningstar stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over DOW
=0.034066
β
Beta against DOW=0.59
σ
Overall volatility
=3.06
Ir
Information ratio =-0.0016

Morningstar Volatility Alert

Morningstar shows above average downside volatility of 3.4 for selected time horizon. We advise investors to further inspect Morningstar to make sure all market timing and asset allocation strategies are consistent with estimation about Morningstar future alpha.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Morningstar to competition

Morningstar Fundamental Vs Peers

FundamentalsMorningstarPeer Average
Return On Equity0.0017 (0.31) 
Return On Asset0.001 (0.14) 
Profit Margin0.0014 (1.27) 
Operating Margin14.84 (5.51) 
Current Valuation6.48 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding42.79 M571.82 M
Shares Owned by Insiders49.06 10.09 
Shares Owned by Institutions46.74 39.21 
Number of Shares Shorted334.5 K4.71 M
Price to Earning43.03 28.72 
Price to Book5.88 9.51 
Price to Sales4.88 11.42 
Revenue1.24 B9.43 B
Gross Profit695.9 M27.38 B
EBITDA251.9 M3.9 B
Net Income142.7 M570.98 M
Cash and Equivalents348.8 M2.7 B
Cash per Share8.15 5.01 
Total Debt702.3 M5.32 B
Debt to Equity0.68 48.70 
Current Ratio1.27 2.16 
Book Value Per Share23.26 1.93 K
Cash Flow from Operations324.1 M971.22 M
Short Ratio2.60 4.00 
Earnings Per Share3.30 3.12 
Price to Earnings To Growth2.25 4.89 
Number of Employees6.9 K18.84 K
Beta1.17-0.15
Market Capitalization6.07 B19.03 B
Total Asset1.03 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings1.04 B9.33 B
Working Capital105.5 M1.48 B
Current Asset409.9 M9.34 B
   Morningstar exotic insider transaction detected [view details]

Morningstar Market Momentum

About Morningstar Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Morningstar? Buying stocks such as Morningstar isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the stock market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily bases. Although Morningstar investors may find it confusing at the beginning, most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply. Please read more on our stock advisor page.
 2017 2018 2019 2020 (projected)
Accounts Payable49.2 M54.4 M58.9 M50.42 M
Receivables148.2 M172.2 M188.5 M157.46 M
Morningstar, Inc. provides independent investment research services in North America, Europe, Australia, Canada, Asia, the United Kingdom, and internationally. Morningstar, Inc. was founded in 1984 and is headquartered in Chicago, Illinois. Morningstar operates under Financial Data Stock Exchanges classification in USA and is traded on BATS Exchange. It employs 6896 people.

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Additionally, see Morningstar Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments please use Instant Ratings tool. Please also try Pattern Recognition module to use different pattern recognition models to time the market across multiple global exchanges.
Macroaxis is not a registered investment advisor or broker/dealer. All investments, including stocks, funds, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies, are speculative and involve substantial risk of loss. We encourage our investors to invest carefully. Much of our information is derived directly from data published by companies or submitted to governmental agencies which we believe are reliable, but are without our independent verification. Therefore, we cannot assure you that the information is accurate or complete. We do not in any way warrant or guarantee the success of any action you take in reliance on our statements or recommendations. Also, note that past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. All investments carry risk, and all investment decisions of an individual remain the responsibility of that individual. There is no guarantee that systems, indicators, or signals will result in profits or that they will not result in losses. All investors are advised to fully understand all risks associated with any investing they choose to do. Hypothetical or simulated performance is not indicative of future results. We make no representations or warranties that any investor will, or is likely to, achieve profits similar to those shown because hypothetical or simulated performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. For more information please visit our terms and condition page