Marcopolo (Brazil) Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| POMO3 Stock | BRL 5.47 0.06 1.08% |
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Marcopolo SA is 'Hold'. Macroaxis provides Marcopolo buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding POMO3 positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Marcopolo's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting Marcopolo's buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value 5.5 | Hype Value 5.53 | Market Value 5.47 | Naive Value 5.47 |
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Marcopolo SA given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Marcopolo. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Marcopolo SA, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
Marcopolo |
Execute Marcopolo Buy or Sell Advice
The Marcopolo recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Marcopolo SA. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Marcopolo SA or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Marcopolo's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Hold
Market Performance | OK | Details | |
Volatility | Somewhat reliable | Details | |
Hype Condition | Stale | Details | |
Current Valuation | Fairly Valued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Above Average | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Follows the market closely | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Not Available | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Inapplicable | Details |
Marcopolo Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Marcopolo SA has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Marcopolo SA has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| About 64.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Marcopolo Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Marcopolo's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Marcopolo's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Marcopolo daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Marcopolo SA price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Marcopolo returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Marcopolo.
| Mean Return | 0.28 | Value At Risk | -3 | Potential Upside | 3.29 | Standard Deviation | 2.00 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Marcopolo historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Marcopolo Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Marcopolo or Consumer Cyclical sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Marcopolo's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Marcopolo stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | 0.20 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 0.83 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.98 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.09 |
Marcopolo Volatility Alert
Marcopolo SA currently demonstrates below-average downside deviation. It has Information Ratio of 0.09 and Jensen Alpha of 0.2. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Marcopolo's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Marcopolo's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Marcopolo Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Marcopolo's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Marcopolo's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Marcopolo and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Marcopolo or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Marcopolo's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Marcopolo by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Marcopolo to competition |
| Fundamentals | Marcopolo | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 0.0793 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | -0.0077 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.06 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | (0.02) % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 4 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 598.68 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 64.15 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 22.70 % | 39.21 % |
| Price To Earning | 18.15 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 0.77 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 0.54 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 3.5 B | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 356.22 M | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 581.84 M | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 366.62 M | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 1.14 B | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 1.04 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 1.47 B | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 89.50 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 1.77 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 3.24 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 188.25 M | 971.22 M |
| Earnings Per Share | 0.27 X | 3.12 X |
| Number Of Employees | 9.68 K | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 0.69 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 2.8 B | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 6.65 B | 29.47 B |
| Z Score | 0.6 | 8.72 |
| Annual Yield | 0.07 % | |
| Five Year Return | 2.55 % | |
| Net Asset | 6.65 B |
Marcopolo Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Marcopolo . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 5982.16 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.35) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.99 | |||
| Day Median Price | 5.47 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 5.47 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.03) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.06) |
About Marcopolo Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Marcopolo SA? Buying financial instruments such as Marcopolo Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios
In addition to having Marcopolo in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.Did You Try This Idea?
Run Millennials Best Thematic Idea Now
Millennials Best
Companies or funds that provide products or services that appeal to the generation of millennials and that are expected to experience growth in the next 5 years. The millennial generation usually refers to the demographic population that were born between 1980 to 2000. The Millennials Best theme has 77 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Millennials Best Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Check out Marcopolo Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. Note that the Marcopolo SA information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Marcopolo's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio Anywhere module to track or share privately all of your investments from the convenience of any device.
Complementary Tools for Marcopolo Stock analysis
When running Marcopolo's price analysis, check to measure Marcopolo's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Marcopolo is operating at the current time. Most of Marcopolo's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Marcopolo's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Marcopolo's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Marcopolo to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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