Turkiye Petrol (Turkey) Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

TUPRS Stock  TRY 201.30  2.70  1.32%   
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Turkiye Petrol Rafinerileri is 'Strong Hold'. Macroaxis provides Turkiye Petrol buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding TUPRS positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Turkiye Petrol's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting Turkiye Petrol's buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value
148.96
Hype Value
201.3
Market Value
201.3
Naive Value
202.22
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Turkiye Petrol Rafinerileri given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Turkiye Petrol. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Turkiye Petrol Rafinerileri, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
  
Check out Turkiye Petrol Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Turkiye and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Turkiye Petrol Rafinerileri. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in state.

Execute Turkiye Petrol Buy or Sell Advice

The Turkiye recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Turkiye Petrol Rafinerileri. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Turkiye Petrol Rafinerileri or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Turkiye Petrol's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Turkiye PetrolBuy Turkiye Petrol
Strong Hold

Market Performance

SolidDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

StaleDetails

Current Valuation

OvervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Almost neglects market trendsDetails

Analyst Consensus

Not AvailableDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

InapplicableDetails
For the selected time horizon Turkiye Petrol Rafinerileri has a Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1932, Jensen Alpha of 0.589, Total Risk Alpha of 0.3558, Sortino Ratio of 0.3719 and Treynor Ratio of (2.46)
Macroaxis provides recommendation on Turkiye Petrol Rafin to complement and cross-verify current analyst consensus on Turkiye Petrol Rafinerileri. Our trade recommendation engine determines the firm's potential to grow exclusively from the perspective of an investor's current risk tolerance and investing horizon. To make sure Turkiye Petrol Rafin is not overpriced, please validate all Turkiye Petrol fundamentals, including its book value per share, and the relationship between the net income and beta .

Turkiye Petrol Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

About 53.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Turkiye Petrol Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Turkiye Petrol's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Turkiye Petrol's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Turkiye Petrol daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Turkiye Petrol Rafinerileri price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Turkiye Petrol returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Turkiye Petrol.
Mean Return
0.58
Value At Risk
-2.06
Potential Upside
4.25
Standard Deviation
1.97
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Turkiye Petrol historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Turkiye Petrol Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Turkiye Petrol or Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Turkiye Petrol's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Turkiye stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.59
β
Beta against NYSE Composite-0.23
σ
Overall volatility
1.99
Ir
Information ratio 0.26

Turkiye Petrol Volatility Alert

Turkiye Petrol Rafinerileri has relatively low volatility with skewness of 0.53 and kurtosis of -0.08. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Turkiye Petrol's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Turkiye Petrol's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Turkiye Petrol Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Turkiye Petrol's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Turkiye Petrol's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Turkiye Petrol and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Turkiye Petrol or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Turkiye Petrol's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Turkiye Petrol by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Turkiye Petrol to competition
FundamentalsTurkiye PetrolPeer Average
Return On Equity0.97-0.31
Return On Asset0.21-0.14
Profit Margin0.09 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.09 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation123.73 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding275.26 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders52.74 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions10.73 %39.21 %
Price To Earning30.90 X28.72 X
Price To Book2.74 X9.51 X
Price To Sales0.30 X11.42 X
Revenue481.76 B9.43 B
Gross Profit62.78 B27.38 B
EBITDA43.86 B3.9 B
Net Income41.04 B570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents38.57 B2.7 B
Cash Per Share154.01 X5.01 X
Total Debt21 B5.32 B
Debt To Equity1.14 %48.70 %
Current Ratio1.07 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share242.48 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations43.91 B971.22 M
Earnings Per Share96.71 X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth0.07 X4.89 X
Target Price489.18
Number Of Employees4818.84 K
Beta0.85-0.15
Market Capitalization143.88 B19.03 B
Total Asset168.89 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings7.2 B9.33 B
Working Capital312 M1.48 B
Current Asset9.41 B9.34 B
Current Liabilities9.1 B7.9 B

Turkiye Petrol Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Turkiye . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Turkiye Petrol Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Turkiye Petrol Rafinerileri? Buying financial instruments such as Turkiye Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Turkiye Petrol in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

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Check out Turkiye Petrol Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
You can also try the Premium Stories module to follow Macroaxis premium stories from verified contributors across different equity types, categories and coverage scope.

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Please note, there is a significant difference between Turkiye Petrol's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Turkiye Petrol is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Turkiye Petrol's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.