ARYZTA Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

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YZA -- Ireland Stock  

EUR 0.43  0.03  7.50%

Assuming the 30 trading days horizon, and your above-average risk tolerance our recommendation regarding ARYZTA AG is 'Strong Sell'. Macroaxis provides ARYZTA AG buy hold or sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding YZA positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of ARYZTA AG available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. The advice is provided from YZA buy-and-hold perspective. Check out ARYZTA AG Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments please use Instant Ratings tool.

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Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

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Sell ARYZTA AGBuy ARYZTA AG
Strong Sell

Volatility

Hype Condition

Current Valuation

Odds of Distress

Analyst Consensus

Not Available
For the selected time horizon ARYZTA AG has a mean deviation of 4.72, semi deviation of 6.21, standard deviation of 6.39, variance of 40.85, downside variance of 46.33 and semi variance of 38.59
We provide buy or sell advice to complement the prevailing expert consensus on ARYZTA AG. Our dynamic recommendation engine makes use of a multidimensional algorithm to analyze the company's potential to grow using all technical and fundamental data available now. To make sure ARYZTA AG is not overpriced, please confirm all ARYZTA AG fundamentals, including its current ratio, number of employees, and the relationship between the total debt and cash flow from operations .

ARYZTA AG Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

ARYZTA AG appears to be very risky and stock price may revert if volatility continues
ARYZTA AG has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
ARYZTA AG has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported revenue of 3.33 B. Net Loss for the year was (966.83 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 516.92 M.
About 62.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors

ARYZTA AG Returns Distribution Density

The chart of the probability distribution of ARYZTA AG stock daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use ARYZTA AG' stock's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The distribution of ARYZTA AG returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for ARYZTA AG stock.
Mean Return0.70Value At Risk-7.81
Potential Upside9.93Standard Deviation6.39
 Return Density 
      Distribution 
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of ARYZTA AG historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

ARYZTA AG Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to ARYZTA AG or ARYZTA AG sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that ARYZTA AG stock's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a ARYZTA stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over DOW
=0.70
β
Beta against DOW=-0.06
σ
Overall volatility
=6.82
Ir
Information ratio =0.08

ARYZTA AG Volatility Alert

ARYZTA AG is displaying above-average volatility of 6.39 over the selected time horizon. Investors should scrutinize ARYZTA AG independently to ensure intended market timing strategies are aligned with expectations about ARYZTA AG volatility. ARYZTA AG is a potential penny stock. Although ARYZTA AG may be in fact a good instrument to invest, many penny stocks are speculative in nature and are subject to artificial price hype. Please make sure you totally understand the upside potential and downside risk of investing in ARYZTA AG. We encourage investors to look for the signals such us email spams, message board hypes, claims of breakthroughs, volume upswings, sudden news releases, promotions that are not reported, or demotions released before SEC filings. Please also check biographies and work history of current and past company officers before investing in high volatility instruments, penny stocks, or equities with microcap classification. You can indeed make money on this equity instrument if you perfectly time your entry and exit. However, remember that penny stocks that have been the subject of an artificial hype usually unable to maintain its increased share price for more than just a few days. The price of a promoted high volatility instrument will almost always revert back. The only way to increase shareholder value is through legitimate performance backed up by solid fundamentals.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare ARYZTA AG to competition

ARYZTA AG Fundamental Vs Peers

FundamentalsARYZTA AGPeer Average
Return On Equity(46.30) %(0.31) %
Return On Asset0.06 %(0.14) %
Profit Margin(27.76) %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.13 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation1.19 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding990.59 M571.82 M
Shares Owned by Insiders0.03 %10.09 %
Shares Owned by Institutions62.22 %39.21 %
Price to Book0.24 X9.51 X
Price to Sales0.11 X11.42 X
Revenue3.33 B9.43 B
Gross Profit516.92 M27.38 B
EBITDA287.53 M3.9 B
Net Income(966.83 M)570.98 M
Cash and Equivalents513.85 M2.7 B
Cash per Share0.52 X5.01 X
Total Debt1.34 B5.32 B
Debt to Equity0.85 %48.70 %
Current Ratio1.20 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share1.58 X1.93 K
Cash Flow from Operations277.82 M971.22 M
Earnings Per Share(0.98) X3.12 X
Number of Employees17.27 K18.84 K
Beta1.45-0.15
Market Capitalization366.31 M19.03 B

ARYZTA AG Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as ARYZTA . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
Accumulation Distribution14219.386364
Daily Balance Of Power1.0
Rate Of Daily Change1.075
Day Median Price0.425
Day Typical Price0.4267
Market Facilitation Index0.0
Price Action Indicator0.02

About ARYZTA AG Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell ARYZTA AG? Buying stocks such as ARYZTA AG isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the stock market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily bases. Although ARYZTA AG investors may find it confusing at the beginning, most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply. Please read more on our stock advisor page.

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Check out ARYZTA AG Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments please use Instant Ratings tool. Please also try Portfolio Center module to all portfolio management and optimization tools to improve performance of your portfolios.
Macroaxis is not a registered investment advisor or broker/dealer. All investments, including stocks, funds, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies, are speculative and involve substantial risk of loss. We encourage our investors to invest carefully. Much of our information is derived directly from data published by companies or submitted to governmental agencies which we believe are reliable, but are without our independent verification. Therefore, we cannot assure you that the information is accurate or complete. We do not in any way warrant or guarantee the success of any action you take in reliance on our statements or recommendations. Also, note that past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. All investments carry risk, and all investment decisions of an individual remain the responsibility of that individual. There is no guarantee that systems, indicators, or signals will result in profits or that they will not result in losses. All investors are advised to fully understand all risks associated with any investing they choose to do. Hypothetical or simulated performance is not indicative of future results. We make no representations or warranties that any investor will, or is likely to, achieve profits similar to those shown because hypothetical or simulated performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. For more information please visit our terms and condition page