Correlation Between Cosan SA and Gafisa SA

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Cosan SA and Gafisa SA at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Cosan SA and Gafisa SA into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Cosan SA and Gafisa SA, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Cosan SA and Gafisa SA and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Cosan SA with a short position of Gafisa SA. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Cosan SA and Gafisa SA.

Diversification Opportunities for Cosan SA and Gafisa SA

0.6
  Correlation Coefficient

Poor diversification

The 3 months correlation between Cosan and Gafisa is 0.6. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Cosan SA and Gafisa SA in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Gafisa SA and Cosan SA is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Cosan SA are associated (or correlated) with Gafisa SA. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Gafisa SA has no effect on the direction of Cosan SA i.e., Cosan SA and Gafisa SA go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Cosan SA and Gafisa SA

Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Cosan SA is expected to generate 0.6 times more return on investment than Gafisa SA. However, Cosan SA is 1.67 times less risky than Gafisa SA. It trades about -0.18 of its potential returns per unit of risk. Gafisa SA is currently generating about -0.22 per unit of risk. If you would invest  781.00  in Cosan SA on April 24, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (207.00) from holding Cosan SA or give up 26.5% of portfolio value over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthSignificant
Accuracy98.41%
ValuesDaily Returns

Cosan SA  vs.  Gafisa SA

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Cosan SA 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Very Weak

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Cosan SA has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of uncertain performance in the last few months, the Stock's basic indicators remain comparatively stable which may send shares a bit higher in August 2025. The newest uproar may also be a sign of mid-term up-swing for the firm private investors.
Gafisa SA 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Very Weak

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Gafisa SA has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of uncertain performance in the last few months, the Stock's basic indicators remain comparatively stable which may send shares a bit higher in August 2025. The newest uproar may also be a sign of mid-term up-swing for the firm private investors.

Cosan SA and Gafisa SA Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Cosan SA and Gafisa SA

The main advantage of trading using opposite Cosan SA and Gafisa SA positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Cosan SA position performs unexpectedly, Gafisa SA can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Gafisa SA will offset losses from the drop in Gafisa SA's long position.
The idea behind Cosan SA and Gafisa SA pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio Rebalancing module to analyze risk-adjusted returns against different time horizons to find asset-allocation targets.

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