Correlation Between Invesco DB and First Trust

Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Invesco DB and First Trust at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Invesco DB and First Trust into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.

By analyzing existing cross correlation between Invesco DB Commodity and First Trust Alternative, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Invesco DB and First Trust and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Invesco DB with a short position of First Trust. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Invesco DB and First Trust.

Diversification Opportunities for Invesco DB and First Trust

0.88

Correlation Coefficient

Invesco DB  First Trust

Very poor diversification

The 3 months correlation between Invesco and First is 0.88. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Invesco DB Commodity and First Trust Alternative in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on First Trust Alternative and Invesco DB is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Invesco DB Commodity are associated (or correlated) with First Trust. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of First Trust Alternative has no effect on the direction of Invesco DB i.e., Invesco DB and First Trust go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Invesco DB and First Trust

Considering the 90-day investment horizon Invesco DB Commodity is expected to generate 1.04 times more return on investment than First Trust. However, Invesco DB is 1.04 times more volatile than First Trust Alternative. It trades about -0.07 of its potential returns per unit of risk. First Trust Alternative is currently generating about -0.07 per unit of risk. If you would invest  2,258  in Invesco DB Commodity on February 22, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (118.00) from holding Invesco DB Commodity or give up 5.23% of portfolio value over 90 days.

Time Period	3 Months [change]
Direction	Moves Together
Strength	Strong
Accuracy	100.0%
Values	Daily Returns

Invesco DB Commodity  vs.  First Trust Alternative

Invesco DB Commodity

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Very Weak

Over the last 90 days Invesco DB Commodity has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of rather sound fundamental drivers, Invesco DB is not utilizing all of its potentials. The latest stock price tumult, may contribute to shorter-term losses for the shareholders.

First Trust Alternative

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Very Weak

Over the last 90 days First Trust Alternative has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Even with relatively invariable basic indicators, First Trust is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price agitation, may contribute to short-term losses for the retail investors.

Pair Trading with Invesco DB and First Trust

The main advantage of trading using opposite Invesco DB and First Trust positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Invesco DB position performs unexpectedly, First Trust can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in First Trust will offset losses from the drop in First Trust's long position.

The idea behind Invesco DB Commodity and First Trust Alternative pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.

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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Investing Opportunities module to build portfolios using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your investing preferences.