Correlation Between Ecopetrol and Merck KGaA

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Ecopetrol and Merck KGaA at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Ecopetrol and Merck KGaA into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Ecopetrol SA and Merck KGaA, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Ecopetrol and Merck KGaA and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Ecopetrol with a short position of Merck KGaA. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Ecopetrol and Merck KGaA.

Diversification Opportunities for Ecopetrol and Merck KGaA

-0.56
  Correlation Coefficient

Excellent diversification

The 3 months correlation between Ecopetrol and Merck is -0.56. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Ecopetrol SA and Merck KGaA in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Merck KGaA and Ecopetrol is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Ecopetrol SA are associated (or correlated) with Merck KGaA. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Merck KGaA has no effect on the direction of Ecopetrol i.e., Ecopetrol and Merck KGaA go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Ecopetrol and Merck KGaA

Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Ecopetrol SA is expected to generate 1.47 times more return on investment than Merck KGaA. However, Ecopetrol is 1.47 times more volatile than Merck KGaA. It trades about 0.01 of its potential returns per unit of risk. Merck KGaA is currently generating about -0.07 per unit of risk. If you would invest  754.00  in Ecopetrol SA on April 24, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (4.00) from holding Ecopetrol SA or give up 0.53% of portfolio value over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Against 
StrengthVery Weak
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

Ecopetrol SA  vs.  Merck KGaA

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Ecopetrol SA 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Very Weak

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Ecopetrol SA has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite nearly stable technical indicators, Ecopetrol is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to mid-run losses for the stockholders.
Merck KGaA 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Very Weak

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Merck KGaA has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of latest uncertain performance, the Stock's forward-looking signals remain stable and the newest uproar on Wall Street may also be a sign of mid-term gains for the firm private investors.

Ecopetrol and Merck KGaA Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Ecopetrol and Merck KGaA

The main advantage of trading using opposite Ecopetrol and Merck KGaA positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Ecopetrol position performs unexpectedly, Merck KGaA can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Merck KGaA will offset losses from the drop in Merck KGaA's long position.
The idea behind Ecopetrol SA and Merck KGaA pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Idea Optimizer module to use advanced portfolio builder with pre-computed micro ideas to build optimal portfolio .

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