Correlation Between FORWARD AIR and Ulta Beauty

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both FORWARD AIR and Ulta Beauty at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining FORWARD AIR and Ulta Beauty into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between FORWARD AIR P and Ulta Beauty, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on FORWARD AIR and Ulta Beauty and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in FORWARD AIR with a short position of Ulta Beauty. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of FORWARD AIR and Ulta Beauty.

Diversification Opportunities for FORWARD AIR and Ulta Beauty

0.73
  Correlation Coefficient

Poor diversification

The 3 months correlation between FORWARD and Ulta is 0.73. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding FORWARD AIR P and Ulta Beauty in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Ulta Beauty and FORWARD AIR is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on FORWARD AIR P are associated (or correlated) with Ulta Beauty. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Ulta Beauty has no effect on the direction of FORWARD AIR i.e., FORWARD AIR and Ulta Beauty go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between FORWARD AIR and Ulta Beauty

Assuming the 90 days horizon FORWARD AIR P is expected to generate 2.41 times more return on investment than Ulta Beauty. However, FORWARD AIR is 2.41 times more volatile than Ulta Beauty. It trades about 0.23 of its potential returns per unit of risk. Ulta Beauty is currently generating about 0.25 per unit of risk. If you would invest  1,250  in FORWARD AIR P on April 22, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  1,065  from holding FORWARD AIR P or generate 85.2% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthSignificant
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

FORWARD AIR P  vs.  Ulta Beauty

 Performance 
       Timeline  
FORWARD AIR P 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Solid

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in FORWARD AIR P are ranked lower than 18 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite nearly fragile basic indicators, FORWARD AIR reported solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.
Ulta Beauty 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Solid

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Ulta Beauty are ranked lower than 19 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite nearly uncertain basic indicators, Ulta Beauty reported solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.

FORWARD AIR and Ulta Beauty Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with FORWARD AIR and Ulta Beauty

The main advantage of trading using opposite FORWARD AIR and Ulta Beauty positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if FORWARD AIR position performs unexpectedly, Ulta Beauty can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Ulta Beauty will offset losses from the drop in Ulta Beauty's long position.
The idea behind FORWARD AIR P and Ulta Beauty pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
Check out your portfolio center.
Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Equity Forecasting module to use basic forecasting models to generate price predictions and determine price momentum.

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