Correlation Between Fairfax Financial and Cincinnati Financial

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Fairfax Financial and Cincinnati Financial at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Fairfax Financial and Cincinnati Financial into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Fairfax Financial Holdings and Cincinnati Financial, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Fairfax Financial and Cincinnati Financial and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Fairfax Financial with a short position of Cincinnati Financial. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Fairfax Financial and Cincinnati Financial.

Diversification Opportunities for Fairfax Financial and Cincinnati Financial

0.43
  Correlation Coefficient

Very weak diversification

The 3 months correlation between Fairfax and Cincinnati is 0.43. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Fairfax Financial Holdings and Cincinnati Financial in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Cincinnati Financial and Fairfax Financial is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Fairfax Financial Holdings are associated (or correlated) with Cincinnati Financial. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Cincinnati Financial has no effect on the direction of Fairfax Financial i.e., Fairfax Financial and Cincinnati Financial go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Fairfax Financial and Cincinnati Financial

Assuming the 90 days horizon Fairfax Financial Holdings is expected to generate 0.97 times more return on investment than Cincinnati Financial. However, Fairfax Financial Holdings is 1.03 times less risky than Cincinnati Financial. It trades about 0.18 of its potential returns per unit of risk. Cincinnati Financial is currently generating about 0.11 per unit of risk. If you would invest  132,400  in Fairfax Financial Holdings on April 24, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  19,800  from holding Fairfax Financial Holdings or generate 14.95% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthWeak
Accuracy98.44%
ValuesDaily Returns

Fairfax Financial Holdings  vs.  Cincinnati Financial

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Fairfax Financial 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Good

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Fairfax Financial Holdings are ranked lower than 14 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite nearly uncertain basic indicators, Fairfax Financial reported solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.
Cincinnati Financial 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

OK

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Cincinnati Financial are ranked lower than 8 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite nearly fragile basic indicators, Cincinnati Financial may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in August 2025.

Fairfax Financial and Cincinnati Financial Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Fairfax Financial and Cincinnati Financial

The main advantage of trading using opposite Fairfax Financial and Cincinnati Financial positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Fairfax Financial position performs unexpectedly, Cincinnati Financial can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Cincinnati Financial will offset losses from the drop in Cincinnati Financial's long position.
The idea behind Fairfax Financial Holdings and Cincinnati Financial pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
Check out your portfolio center.
Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Money Flow Index module to determine momentum by analyzing Money Flow Index and other technical indicators.

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