Correlation Between National Bank and Old Point

Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both National Bank and Old Point at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining National Bank and Old Point into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.

By analyzing existing cross correlation between National Bank Holdings and Old Point Financial, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on National Bank and Old Point and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in National Bank with a short position of Old Point. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of National Bank and Old Point.

Diversification Opportunities for National Bank and Old Point

-0.48

Correlation Coefficient

National Bank  Old Point

Very good diversification

The 3 months correlation between National and Old is -0.48. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding National Bank Holdings and Old Point Financial in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Old Point Financial and National Bank is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on National Bank Holdings are associated (or correlated) with Old Point. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Old Point Financial has no effect on the direction of National Bank i.e., National Bank and Old Point go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between National Bank and Old Point

Given the investment horizon of 90 days National Bank Holdings is expected to under-perform the Old Point. But the stock apears to be less risky and, when comparing its historical volatility, National Bank Holdings is 1.46 times less risky than Old Point. The stock trades about -0.05 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Old Point Financial is currently generating about 0.14 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon. If you would invest  3,068  in Old Point Financial on March 6, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  833.00  from holding Old Point Financial or generate 27.15% return on investment over 90 days.

Time Period	3 Months [change]
Direction	Moves Against
Strength	Very Weak
Accuracy	100.0%
Values	Daily Returns

National Bank Holdings  vs.  Old Point Financial

National Bank Holdings

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Very Weak

Over the last 90 days National Bank Holdings has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of latest unfluctuating performance, the Stock's technical indicators remain sound and the latest tumult on Wall Street may also be a sign of longer-term gains for the firm shareholders.

Old Point Financial

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Good

Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Old Point Financial are ranked lower than 10 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite nearly unfluctuating basic indicators, Old Point reported solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.

Pair Trading with National Bank and Old Point

The main advantage of trading using opposite National Bank and Old Point positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if National Bank position performs unexpectedly, Old Point can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Old Point will offset losses from the drop in Old Point's long position.

The idea behind National Bank Holdings and Old Point Financial pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.

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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Volatility Analysis module to get historical volatility and risk analysis based on latest market data.