Correlation Between Toll Brothers and DR Horton

Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Toll Brothers and DR Horton at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Toll Brothers and DR Horton into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.

By analyzing existing cross correlation between Toll Brothers and DR Horton, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Toll Brothers and DR Horton and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Toll Brothers with a short position of DR Horton. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Toll Brothers and DR Horton.

Diversification Opportunities for Toll Brothers and DR Horton

0.66

Correlation Coefficient

Toll Brothers  DR Horton

Poor diversification

The 3 months correlation between Toll and HO2 is 0.66. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Toll Brothers and DR Horton in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on DR Horton and Toll Brothers is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Toll Brothers are associated (or correlated) with DR Horton. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of DR Horton has no effect on the direction of Toll Brothers i.e., Toll Brothers and DR Horton go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Toll Brothers and DR Horton

Assuming the 90 days horizon Toll Brothers is expected to generate 0.92 times more return on investment than DR Horton. However, Toll Brothers is 1.08 times less risky than DR Horton. It trades about 0.17 of its potential returns per unit of risk. DR Horton is currently generating about 0.07 per unit of risk. If you would invest  8,083  in Toll Brothers on April 22, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  2,002  from holding Toll Brothers or generate 24.77% return on investment over 90 days.

Time Period	3 Months [change]
Direction	Moves Together
Strength	Significant
Accuracy	100.0%
Values	Daily Returns

Toll Brothers  vs.  DR Horton

Toll Brothers

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Good

Over the last 90 days Toll Brothers has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite nearly weak basic indicators, Toll Brothers reported solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.

DR Horton

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Modest

Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in DR Horton are ranked lower than 5 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite nearly fragile basic indicators, DR Horton may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in August 2025.

Pair Trading with Toll Brothers and DR Horton

The main advantage of trading using opposite Toll Brothers and DR Horton positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Toll Brothers position performs unexpectedly, DR Horton can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in DR Horton will offset losses from the drop in DR Horton's long position.

The idea behind Toll Brothers and DR Horton pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.

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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the My Watchlist Analysis module to analyze my current watchlist and to refresh optimization strategy. Macroaxis watchlist is based on self-learning algorithm to remember stocks you like.