Correlation Between ProShares Trust and Vanguard

Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both ProShares Trust and Vanguard at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining ProShares Trust and Vanguard into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.

By analyzing existing cross correlation between ProShares Trust and Vanguard SP 500, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on ProShares Trust and Vanguard and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in ProShares Trust with a short position of Vanguard. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of ProShares Trust and Vanguard.

Diversification Opportunities for ProShares Trust and Vanguard

-0.72

Correlation Coefficient

ProShares Trust  Vanguard

Pay attention - limited upside

The 3 months correlation between ProShares and Vanguard is -0.72. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding ProShares Trust and Vanguard SP 500 in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Vanguard SP 500 and ProShares Trust is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on ProShares Trust are associated (or correlated) with Vanguard. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Vanguard SP 500 has no effect on the direction of ProShares Trust i.e., ProShares Trust and Vanguard go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between ProShares Trust and Vanguard

Assuming the 90 days trading horizon ProShares Trust is expected to under-perform the Vanguard. In addition to that, ProShares Trust is 1.72 times more volatile than Vanguard SP 500. It trades about -0.11 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. Vanguard SP 500 is currently generating about 0.0 per unit of volatility. If you would invest  1,092,283  in Vanguard SP 500 on April 7, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (12,801) from holding Vanguard SP 500 or give up 1.17% of portfolio value over 90 days.

Time Period	3 Months [change]
Direction	Moves Against
Strength	Weak
Accuracy	99.19%
Values	Daily Returns

ProShares Trust   vs.  Vanguard SP 500

ProShares Trust

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Very Weak

Over the last 90 days ProShares Trust has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of fairly strong primary indicators, ProShares Trust is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.

Vanguard SP 500

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Good

Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Vanguard SP 500 are ranked lower than 11 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly unfluctuating basic indicators, Vanguard showed solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.

Pair Trading with ProShares Trust and Vanguard

The main advantage of trading using opposite ProShares Trust and Vanguard positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if ProShares Trust position performs unexpectedly, Vanguard can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Vanguard will offset losses from the drop in Vanguard's long position.

The idea behind ProShares Trust and Vanguard SP 500 pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.

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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Global Correlations module to find global opportunities by holding instruments from different markets.