Correlation Between Vanguard Gnma and Vanguard Mortgage

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Vanguard Gnma and Vanguard Mortgage at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Vanguard Gnma and Vanguard Mortgage into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Vanguard Gnma Fund and Vanguard Mortgage Backed Securities, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Vanguard Gnma and Vanguard Mortgage and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Vanguard Gnma with a short position of Vanguard Mortgage. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Vanguard Gnma and Vanguard Mortgage.

Diversification Opportunities for Vanguard Gnma and Vanguard Mortgage

0.91
  Correlation Coefficient

Almost no diversification

The 3 months correlation between Vanguard and Vanguard is 0.91. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Vanguard Gnma Fund and Vanguard Mortgage Backed Secur in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Vanguard Mortgage and Vanguard Gnma is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Vanguard Gnma Fund are associated (or correlated) with Vanguard Mortgage. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Vanguard Mortgage has no effect on the direction of Vanguard Gnma i.e., Vanguard Gnma and Vanguard Mortgage go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Vanguard Gnma and Vanguard Mortgage

Assuming the 90 days horizon Vanguard Gnma Fund is expected to under-perform the Vanguard Mortgage. But the mutual fund apears to be less risky and, when comparing its historical volatility, Vanguard Gnma Fund is 1.06 times less risky than Vanguard Mortgage. The mutual fund trades about -0.24 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Vanguard Mortgage Backed Securities is currently generating about -0.17 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon. If you would invest  2,446  in Vanguard Mortgage Backed Securities on February 2, 2024 and sell it today you would lose (40.00) from holding Vanguard Mortgage Backed Securities or give up 1.64% of portfolio value over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthVery Strong
Accuracy95.45%
ValuesDaily Returns

Vanguard Gnma Fund  vs.  Vanguard Mortgage Backed Secur

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Vanguard Gnma 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days Vanguard Gnma Fund has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to fund investors. In spite of fairly strong forward-looking indicators, Vanguard Gnma is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.
Vanguard Mortgage 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days Vanguard Mortgage Backed Securities has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to fund investors. In spite of fairly strong forward indicators, Vanguard Mortgage is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.

Vanguard Gnma and Vanguard Mortgage Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Vanguard Gnma and Vanguard Mortgage

The main advantage of trading using opposite Vanguard Gnma and Vanguard Mortgage positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Vanguard Gnma position performs unexpectedly, Vanguard Mortgage can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Vanguard Mortgage will offset losses from the drop in Vanguard Mortgage's long position.
The idea behind Vanguard Gnma Fund and Vanguard Mortgage Backed Securities pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Idea Breakdown module to analyze constituents of all Macroaxis ideas. Macroaxis investment ideas are predefined, sector-focused investing themes.

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